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24.05.2026 16:30
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Referee: M. Orellana
Las Palmas
Match Timeline
Zaragoza
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Keidi Bare
Zaragoza
⚽
41'
Jese
Las Palmas
🟨
45+2'
Kenan Kodro
Zaragoza
🟨
50'
Nikola Čumić
Zaragoza
🔄
56'
E. Pedrola ↔ J. Viera
Las Palmas
🔄
57'
N. Cumic ↔ H. Pinilla
Zaragoza
🔄
63'
T. Miyashiro ↔ Pejino
Las Palmas
🔄
63'
Marvin ↔ J. Herzog
Las Palmas
⚽
73'
M. A. Cuenca · Assist: H. Pinilla
Zaragoza
🔄
82'
K. Bare ↔ R. Guti
Zaragoza
🔄
82'
T. Moya ↔ L. Terrer
Zaragoza
🔄
83'
D. Gomez ↔ W. Agada
Zaragoza
🔄
84'
M. Fuster ↔ I. Bravo
Las Palmas
🔄
84'
Alex Suarez ↔ V. Pezzolesi
Las Palmas
🔄
86'
J. Sebastian ↔ M. Aguirregabiria
Zaragoza
🟨
90+7'
Adrián Rodríguez
Zaragoza
🟨
90+2'
Raúl Guti
Zaragoza

Las Palmas vs Zaragoza Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 98.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
98.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Las Palmas Win 98.6%
Draw 0%
Zaragoza Win 1.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Las Palmas1.36
Zaragoza0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Las Palmas Las Palmas
WWDLW
55 GF / 41 GA
Zaragoza Zaragoza
WLDWL
37 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
23
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
15
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Las Palmas Las Palmas 41 matches
Zaragoza Zaragoza 42 matches
Las Palmas Statistic Zaragoza
19 Wins 9
12 Draws 11
10 Losses 22
55 Goals For 37
41 Goals Against 58
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
23 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 16
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.61
11.76 Total Shots 12.12
4.27 Corners 4.9
54.4% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Las Palmas's more proactive style and Zaragoza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Las Palmas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 69 points compared to Zaragoza in 22 on 35, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Las Palmas expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Zaragoza in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zaragoza having the stronger overall control. Las Palmas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zaragoza.

Las Palmas Analysis

Las Palmas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 69 points after 40 matches. With 19 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 54:38, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Jese (9 goals), M. Fuster (8 goals), A. Garcia (7 goals), with creative support from M. Fuster (10 assists), L. Amatucci (4 assists), Jese (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Zaragoza Analysis

Zaragoza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 35 points from 40 matches. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 11 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 34:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Gomez (9 goals), K. Kodro (7 goals), J. El Yamiq (2 goals), with creative support from D. Tasende (4 assists), Martín Aguirregabiria (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Las Palmas won 1 times, Zaragoza won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Las Palmas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Las Palmas 4-4-2 / Zaragoza 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Las Palmas wins 1, draws 6, Zaragoza wins 5

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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