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19.05.2026 18:30
Het Kuipje
Referee: E. Lambrechts
KVC Westerlo
Match Timeline
Standard Liege
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
D. Haspolat
KVC Westerlo
⚽
18'
T. Nkada
Standard Liege
⚽
41'
R. Said
Standard Liege
🟨
45+2'
Seiji Kimura
KVC Westerlo
🔄
62'
M. Fossey ↔ T. Mohr
Standard Liege
🟨
63'
Arthur Piedfort
KVC Westerlo
🔄
63'
L. Mbamba-Muanda ↔ S. Saito
KVC Westerlo
VAR
77'
Timothee Nkada
Standard Liege
🔄
78'
A. Piedfort ↔ R. Laalaoui
KVC Westerlo
🔄
78'
I. Sakamoto ↔ E. Destan
KVC Westerlo
🔄
78'
A. Abid ↔ D. Eckert Ayensa
Standard Liege
🔄
78'
T. Nkada ↔ N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
Standard Liege
🔄
79'
D. Dierckx ↔ T. Teuma
Standard Liege
🟨
88'
Nayel Mehssatou
Standard Liege
🔄
89'
Nacho ↔ A. Patrao
KVC Westerlo
🟨
90+7'
Enis Destan
KVC Westerlo
🟨
90+1'
Tobias Mohr
Standard Liege
🔄
90'
R. Said ↔ B. Nguene
Standard Liege

KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
59.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KVC Westerlo Win 26.4%
Draw 10.7%
Standard Liege Win 62.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
KVC Westerlo1.23
Standard Liege1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
WWDLW
49 GF / 53 GA
Standard Liege Standard Liege
WLDWL
42 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
15
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
17
4.74
Shots on Goal
3.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 38 matches
Standard Liege Standard Liege 38 matches
KVC Westerlo Statistic Standard Liege
14 Wins 15
10 Draws 9
14 Losses 14
49 Goals For 42
53 Goals Against 43
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
15 BTTS Yes 16
29 Over 1.5 27
16 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 12
13 Failed To Score 13
4.74 Shots On Goal 3.37
14.26 Total Shots 9.87
5.05 Corners 4.08
48.9% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Standard Liege. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with KVC Westerlo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Standard Liege in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Standard Liege having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

KVC Westerlo Analysis

KVC Westerlo arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 33 points after 38 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, while the 49:53 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nacho (11 goals), A. Sayyadmanesh (7 goals), E. Bayram (6 goals), with creative support from I. Sakamoto (4 assists), J. Alcocer (4 assists), Doğucan Haspolat (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Standard Liege Analysis

Standard Liege come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 34 points from 38 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 42:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Said (7 goals), C. Nielsen (5 goals), D. Eckert Ayensa (5 goals), with creative support from A. Abid (5 assists), R. Said (4 assists), C. Nielsen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KVC Westerlo won 6 times, Standard Liege won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from KVC Westerlo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: KVC Westerlo 4-2-3-1 / Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: KVC Westerlo wins 6, draws 6, Standard Liege wins 3

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 50:17 33 66
W D L W L
2 30 20 3 7 59:36 23 63
W D W W W
3 30 18 3 9 47:35 12 57
W L D L W
4 30 13 6 11 49:43 6 45
W L D D D
5 30 12 9 9 39:37 2 45
L D D L W
6 30 12 8 10 43:39 4 44
L W D D L
7 30 11 9 10 46:47 -1 42
L W D D W
8 30 11 7 12 27:35 -8 40
L W D W W
9 30 10 9 11 36:40 -4 39
L L W L D
10 30 9 8 13 31:32 -1 35
W D L L L
11 30 9 7 14 38:42 -4 34
W D L W W
12 30 9 7 14 32:43 -11 34
L D W L D
13 30 8 8 14 38:47 -9 32
W W W W W
14 30 7 10 13 39:47 -8 31
L L W W W
15 30 6 13 11 30:37 -7 31
W L L L L
16 30 3 10 17 24:51 -27 19
D L L W L
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round