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HUNGARY › NB I
24.04.2026 18:00
Diosgyori Stadion
Referee: A. Molnar
Kazincbarcikai
Match Timeline
MTK Budapest
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
N. Konyves
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
46'
I. Atrok ↔ A. Molnar
MTK Budapest
🟨
49'
L. Racz
Kazincbarcikai
🟨
58'
M. Kata
MTK Budapest
🔄
64'
R. Schuszter ↔ M. Pukhtyeyev
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
64'
B. Trencsenyi ↔ M. Ubochioma
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
64'
H. Nemeth ↔ J. Plsek
MTK Budapest
🔄
69'
Z. Kerezsi ↔ M. Jurina
MTK Budapest
🔄
69'
V. Armalas ↔ B. Varju
MTK Budapest
🔄
74'
N. Konyves ↔ E. Ikoba
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
84'
G. Szoke ↔ J. Ferenczi
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
84'
B. Kartik ↔ M. Major
Kazincbarcikai
🔄
87'
G. Jurek ↔ R. Polievka
MTK Budapest

Kazincbarcikai vs MTK Budapest Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 91%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
91%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.1%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kazincbarcikai Win 9%
Draw 0%
MTK Budapest Win 91%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kazincbarcikai1.33
MTK Budapest1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai
WWDLW
27 GF / 67 GA
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest
WLDWL
52 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.73
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.97
15
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kazincbarcikai Kazincbarcikai 30 matches
MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 30 matches
Kazincbarcikai Statistic MTK Budapest
5 Wins 9
2 Draws 8
23 Losses 13
27 Goals For 52
67 Goals Against 59
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97
15 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 17
3 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 4.03
0 Total Shots 10.27
0 Corners 3.37
0% Ball Possession 39.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward MTK Budapest having the stronger overall control. Kazincbarcikai have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward MTK Budapest. MTK Budapest carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 35 points while Kazincbarcikai sit 12 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Kazincbarcikai Analysis

Kazincbarcikai sit 12 with 17 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 27:63, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through B. Kartik (4 goals), M. Ubochioma (4 goals), B. Sos (2 goals), with creative support from B. Kartik (3 assists), M. Ubochioma (1 assists), B. Sos (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

MTK Budapest Analysis

From their first 30 matches, MTK Budapest have collected 35 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, while the 50:58 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Molnar (9 goals), I. Atrok (6 goals), R. Molnar (5 goals), with creative support from I. Bognar (7 assists), Patrik Kovács (4 assists), A. Molnar (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Kazincbarcikai won 3 times, MTK Budapest won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Kazincbarcikai's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Kazincbarcikai - / MTK Budapest 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kazincbarcikai wins 3, draws 2, MTK Budapest wins 7

Standings

NB I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 20 9 4 65:30 35 69
W W D W W
2 33 21 5 7 67:31 36 68
W W W L W
3 33 15 8 10 63:46 17 53
W W L W L
4 33 14 11 8 51:41 10 53
W L D W D
5 33 13 9 11 49:43 6 48
L L L W L
6 33 13 7 13 43:43 0 46
D W W L L
7 33 11 7 15 48:57 -9 40
L L L W W
8 33 11 7 15 36:49 -13 40
L L L L D
9 33 10 10 13 47:57 -10 40
D D W L W
10 33 9 11 13 55:62 -7 38
D D D W W
11 33 6 10 17 39:65 -26 28
L L W L L
12 33 6 4 23 31:70 -39 22
D W D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - NB II.