Login Register
JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
10.05.2026 07:00
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
Referee: Y. Ohashi
Kashiwa Reysol
Match Timeline
Kawasaki Frontale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
R. Osa ↔ T. Ito
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
55'
K. Yuruki ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
55'
Y. Kakita ↔ M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
64'
Erison ↔ L. Romanic
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
70'
Y. Konishi ↔ R. Harakawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
70'
W. Harada ↔ S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol
⚽
73'
M. Hosoya · Assist: S. Baba
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
80'
Y. Yamamoto ↔ Marcinho
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
84'
Y. Koizumi ↔ H. Nakama
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
85'
K. Tachibanada ↔ S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
85'
Y. Maruyama ↔ S. Kanda
Kawasaki Frontale

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Kashiwa Reysol Win 36%
Draw 13.9%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 50.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kashiwa Reysol1.26
Kawasaki Frontale1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
25 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
3.73
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
4 Wins 7
1 Draws 3
11 Losses 6
17 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 25
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 6
3.73 Shots On Goal 3.4
13.2 Total Shots 10.8
5.53 Corners 4.2
57.9% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kawasaki Frontale. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kawasaki Frontale carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 23 points while Kashiwa Reysol sit 10 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Kashiwa Reysol have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kashiwa Reysol expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

With 11 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Kashiwa Reysol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 16:22, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Segawa (4 goals), Nobuteru Nakagawa (2 goals), H. Nakama (1 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), Y. Koizumi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 23 points after 15 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a 21:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (4 goals), L. Romanic (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (4 assists), Y. Yamamoto (2 assists), K. Tachibanada (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kashiwa Reysol won 2 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Kashiwa Reysol's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Kashiwa Reysol wins 2, draws 7, Kawasaki Frontale wins 6

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)