Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Juventud
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Juventud
21 matches
Progreso
15 matches
| Juventud | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 12 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.8 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 0 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Progreso. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Progreso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Juventud expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Progreso in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Progreso having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 15 points from 15 games and a place of 14, Juventud still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 17:22 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Mimbacas (7 goals), Ramiro Peralta (3 goals), Alejo Cruz (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Progreso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 12:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Copelotti (2 goals), N. Lopez (2 goals), D. Sanchez (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Juventud won 5 times, Progreso won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:16 from Juventud's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Lineups
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Defensor Sporting
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Penarol
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Racing Montevideo
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Danubio
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Wanderers
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Penarol
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Albion FC
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Central Espanol
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Juventud
Liverpool Montevideo
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Boston River
Juventud
Albion FC
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Independiente Medellin
Juventud
Central Espanol
Juventud
Club Guarani
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Progreso
Juventud
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
CA River Plate
Juventud
Club Nacional
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Cerro
Juventud
Miramar
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
Cerro
Progreso
Danubio
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
Juventud
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
Progreso
CA River Plate
Progreso
Boston River
Progreso
Club Nacional
Progreso
Penarol