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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
17.06.2026 15:00
Tammela Stadium
Referee: Joona Kontinen, Finland
Ilves
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
J. Kanga
Ilves
⚽
8'
T. Hytonen
Ilves
🟨
14'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
⚽
26'
T. Hytonen · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
28'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
FF Jaro
⚽
38'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
46'
Y. Raap ↔ A. Popovitch
Ilves
🔄
58'
F. Kass ↔ R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
58'
V. Vuorinen ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
60'
T. Hytonen ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🔄
60'
O. Tiitinen ↔ J. Veteli
Ilves
🔄
69'
T. Miettunen ↔ O. Pettersson
Ilves
🔄
71'
A. Bjonback ↔ L. Nyman
FF Jaro
🔄
78'
J. Kanga ↔ R. Halonen
Ilves
⚽
81'
R. Riski · Assist: J. Kilo
Ilves
🔄
82'
K. Harden ↔ V. Lofs
FF Jaro
🔄
82'
H. Sjogrell ↔ M. Najafi
FF Jaro

Ilves vs FF Jaro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 75.7%
Draw 16.7%
FF Jaro Win 7.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.83
FF Jaro1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
16 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
2.18
Shots on Goal
1.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 15 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 16 matches
Ilves Statistic FF Jaro
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 9
27 Goals For 16
23 Goals Against 30
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
8 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
2.18 Shots On Goal 1.82
5.91 Total Shots 5.18
2.18 Corners 2
25.6% Ball Possession 26.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FF Jaro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FF Jaro in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Ilves Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Ilves have collected 9 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hytonen (4 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (2 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 10 with 7 points after 10 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 8:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (3 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (2 goals), A. Bjonback (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Ogungbaro (1 assists), F. O. Ness (1 assists), J. Vikstrom (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 6 times, FF Jaro won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:11 from Ilves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / FF Jaro 4-5-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 6, draws 0, FF Jaro wins 3

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L W D D L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
D W W L W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9
Ilves Home
22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs