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CROATIA › HNL
27.04.2026 16:00
Gradski stadion Velika Gorica
Referee: P. Kolaric
HNK Gorica
Match Timeline
Istra 1961
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
J. Prsir · Assist: B. Bogojevic
HNK Gorica
🟨
45+1'
Vinko Rozić
Istra 1961
🔄
46'
A. Mauric ↔ D. Ahmeti
Istra 1961
🟨
50'
Ante Erceg
HNK Gorica
🟨
56'
Advan Kadušić
Istra 1961
🔄
67'
J. Prsir ↔ T. Epailly
HNK Gorica
🔄
73'
B. Bogojevic ↔ O. Bakic
HNK Gorica
🔄
73'
A. Erceg ↔ W. Sule
HNK Gorica
🔄
78'
M. Heister ↔ N. Sepic
Istra 1961
🔄
78'
V. Rozic ↔ C. Agada
Istra 1961
🔄
81'
D. Pavicic ↔ E. Durakovic
HNK Gorica
🔄
85'
E. Frederiksen ↔ A. Obando
Istra 1961
🟨
86'
Raul Kumar
Istra 1961
🟨
89'
Stefan Perić
HNK Gorica
🟨
89'
Smail Prevljak
Istra 1961
🔄
90'
A. Kadusic ↔ R. Hrvatin
Istra 1961

HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
53.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56%
- ▥
HT / FT 1-1
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
HNK Gorica Win 69.8%
Draw 7.4%
Istra 1961 Win 22.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
HNK Gorica1.29
Istra 19611.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
WLDWL
35 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
17
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
17
3.52
Shots on Goal
2.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 31 matches
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 31 matches
HNK Gorica Statistic Istra 1961
9 Wins 10
8 Draws 6
14 Losses 15
36 Goals For 35
43 Goals Against 46
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
17 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
10 Failed To Score 10
3.52 Shots On Goal 2.97
10.55 Total Shots 9.81
4 Corners 3.9
44.6% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HNK Gorica won 8 times, Istra 1961 won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from HNK Gorica's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: HNK Gorica 3-4-2-1 / Istra 1961 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HNK Gorica wins 8, draws 3, Istra 1961 wins 4

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 93:28 65 86
D W W W W
2 36 20 8 8 61:36 25 68
W D L W D
3 36 15 9 12 47:46 1 54
W W D L L
4 36 14 11 11 49:36 13 53
W D W W D
5 36 10 14 12 40:52 -12 44
D D D L D
6 36 12 7 17 39:50 -11 43
L D W W L
7 36 10 11 15 46:61 -15 41
L L W L D
8 36 11 8 17 40:48 -8 41
L W L L W
9 36 8 11 17 27:49 -22 35
W L L L D
10 36 6 10 20 37:73 -36 28
L L L W D
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation