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ITALY › SERIE A
24.05.2026 18:45
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Referee: S. Sozza
Hellas Verona
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
🟨
45+1'
Sandi Lovrić
Hellas Verona
🔄
46'
D. Ghilardi ↔ J. Ziolkowski
AS Roma
🔄
46'
N. Pisilli ↔ N. El Aynaoui
AS Roma
🟨
50'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
🟥
50'
Nicolás Valentini
Hellas Verona
VAR
54'
Jan Ziółkowski
AS Roma
⚽
56'
D. Malen · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
58'
T. Suslov ↔ A. Bella-Kotchap
Hellas Verona
🔄
58'
S. Lovric ↔ Al Musrati
Hellas Verona
🔄
70'
M. Frese ↔ D. Bradaric
Hellas Verona
🔄
70'
A. Harroui ↔ A. Sarr
Hellas Verona
🟨
71'
Jan Ziółkowski
AS Roma
🔄
72'
M. Soule ↔ S. El Shaarawy
AS Roma
🔄
73'
↔ M. Kone
AS Roma
🔄
84'
D. Malen ↔ R. Vaz
AS Roma
🔄
86'
R. Belghali ↔ I. Vermesan
Hellas Verona
⚽
90'
S. El Shaarawy · Assist: P. Dybala
AS Roma

Hellas Verona vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
55.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hellas Verona Win 4%
Draw 0%
AS Roma Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hellas Verona0.78
AS Roma1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WWDLW
26 GF / 60 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
76 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
19
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
20
3.56
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 39 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 48 matches
Hellas Verona Statistic AS Roma
3 Wins 27
14 Draws 6
22 Losses 15
26 Goals For 76
60 Goals Against 45
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
19 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 34
19 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 20
20 Failed To Score 8
3.56 Shots On Goal 4.69
10.9 Total Shots 13.33
3.82 Corners 5.17
39.2% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AS Roma's more proactive style and Hellas Verona's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AS Roma. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hellas Verona expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AS Roma having the stronger overall control. AS Roma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 70 points while Hellas Verona sit 19 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. AS Roma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 21 points from 37 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 12 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 25:59, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Orban (7 goals), Kieron Bowie (4 goals), Giovane (3 goals), with creative support from Giovane (5 assists), G. Orban (2 assists), A. Sarr (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AS Roma Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 70 points from 37 games, AS Roma bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 57:31, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Malen (13 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), Wesley Franca (5 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), N. Pisilli (4 assists), P. Dybala (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 9 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Bove unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hellas Verona won 4 times, AS Roma won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Hellas Verona's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Hellas Verona 3-5-1-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Hellas Verona 6, AS Roma 6
H2H summary: Hellas Verona wins 4, draws 1, AS Roma wins 10

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B