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ITALY › SERIE A
19.04.2026 13:00
Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi
Referee: D. Chiffi
Hellas Verona
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
D. Oyegoke ↔ P. Lirola
Hellas Verona
🟨
24'
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro
Hellas Verona
⚽
41'
A. Rabiot · Assist: R. Leao
AC Milan
🔄
46'
D. Bradaric ↔ I. Vermesan
Hellas Verona
🔄
63'
Z. Athekame ↔ A. Saelemaekers
AC Milan
🔄
63'
R. Leao ↔ S. Gimenez
AC Milan
🔄
64'
J. Akpa Akpro ↔ Al Musrati
Hellas Verona
🔄
64'
Y. Fofana ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🔄
80'
C. Pulisic ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🔄
82'
A. Bernede ↔ Isaac
Hellas Verona
🔄
83'
R. Gagliardini ↔ S. Lovric
Hellas Verona
🟨
84'
Mutassim Al-Musrati
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 99.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 58.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
99.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
58.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
57.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hellas Verona Win 69%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 99.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hellas Verona0.76
AC Milan1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
WWDLW
24 GF / 56 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
52 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
17
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
15
3.62
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 34 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 36 matches
Hellas Verona Statistic AC Milan
3 Wins 20
11 Draws 9
20 Losses 7
24 Goals For 52
56 Goals Against 30
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
17 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 15
17 Failed To Score 7
3.62 Shots On Goal 4.53
11 Total Shots 14.14
3.85 Corners 4.89
39.7% Ball Possession 54%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AC Milan's more proactive style and Hellas Verona's more cautious structure. Hellas Verona appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward AC Milan. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. AC Milan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 63 points while Hellas Verona sit 19 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AC Milan.

Hellas Verona Analysis

Hellas Verona sit 19 with 18 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 23:55, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through G. Orban (7 goals), Giovane (3 goals), Martin Frese (3 goals), with creative support from Giovane (5 assists), G. Orban (2 assists), A. Sarr (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Bella-Kotchap, S. Lovric, S. Serdar unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

AC Milan Analysis

AC Milan sit 3 with 63 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 18 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats with a 47:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Leao (9 goals), C. Pulisic (8 goals), A. Rabiot (5 goals), with creative support from A. Rabiot (4 assists), C. Pulisic (3 assists), C. Nkunku (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hellas Verona won 0 times, AC Milan won 13 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:31 from Hellas Verona's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Hellas Verona 3-5-2 / AC Milan 3-5-2
Missing players: Hellas Verona 1, AC Milan 0
H2H summary: Hellas Verona wins 0, draws 2, AC Milan wins 13

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B