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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
Exercise Stadium
Harrogate Town
Match Timeline
Eastleigh
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
B. Dolaghan
Harrogate Town
⚽
25'
J. Cousins
Eastleigh
⚽
39'
B. Dolaghan
Harrogate Town
🔄
68'
M. Dickov ↔ W. Randall
Eastleigh
🔄
68'
H. Sidwell ↔ J. Williams
Eastleigh
🔄
72'
D. Rankine ↔ J. Caprice
Eastleigh
🔄
74'
J. Hmami ↔ E. Taylor
Harrogate Town
🔄
74'
B. Dolaghan ↔ C. McGuckin
Harrogate Town
🟨
78'
T. Dobson-Ventura
Eastleigh
⚽
79'
B. Hobson · Assist: M. Williams
Harrogate Town
🔄
80'
W. McGowan ↔ G. Thomson
Harrogate Town
🔄
82'
B. Hobson ↔ M. Craig
Harrogate Town
🔄
84'
T. Dobson-Ventura ↔ I. Bakare
Eastleigh
🔄
84'
H. Ghandour ↔ S. Bamey
Eastleigh
🟨
85'
M. Williams
Harrogate Town
⚽
89'
G. Thomson
Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town vs Eastleigh Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.4%
1.60 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 77.4%
Draw 5.1%
Eastleigh Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town1.85
Eastleigh1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
Eastleigh Eastleigh
WLDWL
14 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
12
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 14 matches
Eastleigh Eastleigh 15 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic Eastleigh
9 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 9
29 Goals For 14
21 Goals Against 23
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
12 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Harrogate Town's more proactive style and Eastleigh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Eastleigh. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Eastleigh having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Harrogate Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 16 points compared to Eastleigh in 14 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 16 points from 8 games, Harrogate Town bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Eastleigh Analysis

Eastleigh sit 14 with 11 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 10:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 3 times, Eastleigh won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:6 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Harrogate Town wins 3, draws 0, Eastleigh wins 2

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation