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ISRAEL › LIGAT HA'AL
15.05.2026 13:00
Bloomfield Stadium
Referee: A. Shiloach
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Match Timeline
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Andrian Kraev
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🔄
26'
E. Boateng ↔ X. Silva
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🟨
29'
Andrian Kraev
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🟥
29'
Andrian Kraev
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🔄
46'
L. Loizou ↔ E. Y. Kancepolsky
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🔄
46'
M. Abu Rumi ↔ J. East
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
46'
G. Mizrahi ↔ A. C. Ganah
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
60'
S. Turiel ↔ S. Piven
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🔄
60'
O. Altman ↔ A. Lemkin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
🔄
64'
O. Blorian ↔ Miguel Vitor
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
64'
M. Baltaxa ↔ O. Davidzada
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
70'
M. Coco ↔ D. Dappa
Hapoel Tel Aviv
⚽
71'
O. Davidzada · Assist: K. Kangwa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🟨
76'
Eliel Peretz
Hapoel Beer Sheva
🔄
79'
E. Peretz ↔ S. Elias
Hapoel Beer Sheva
⚽
81'
A. C. Ganah
Hapoel Beer Sheva
VAR
83'
Amir Chaim Ganah
Hapoel Beer Sheva

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win 38.2%
Draw 11.4%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.35
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
WWDLW
53 GF / 28 GA
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
WLDWL
72 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.95
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
13
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
18
2.94
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 32 matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 37 matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv Statistic Hapoel Beer Sheva
18 Wins 22
7 Draws 10
7 Losses 5
53 Goals For 72
28 Goals Against 33
1.66 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
13 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 26
14 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 12
14 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 7
2.94 Shots On Goal 3.89
8.63 Total Shots 10.08
3.56 Corners 3.7
33.2% Ball Possession 36.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Hapoel Tel Aviv expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Hapoel Beer Sheva in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hapoel Beer Sheva having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Hapoel Beer Sheva. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Hapoel Tel Aviv Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 49 points after 26 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 46:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Turiel (12 goals), L. Loizou (7 goals), O. Altman (6 goals), with creative support from S. Turiel (6 assists), L. Loizou (4 assists), A. Kraev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 12 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Hapoel Beer Sheva Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 59 points after 26 matches. The return of 18 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 58:25, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Biton (15 goals), I. Zlatanovic (13 goals), K. Kangwa (10 goals), with creative support from K. Kangwa (7 assists), Eliel Peretz (5 assists), A. C. Ganah (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 3 times, Hapoel Beer Sheva won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:34 from Hapoel Tel Aviv's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-1-3-2 / Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
H2H summary: Hapoel Tel Aviv wins 3, draws 4, Hapoel Beer Sheva wins 8

Standings

Premier League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 24 7 5 79:38 41 79
L W W D W
2 36 22 10 4 78:40 38 76
D D W D L
3 36 19 9 8 75:46 29 66
D L L W D
4 36 18 8 10 55:38 17 60
D L L W D
5 36 15 10 11 66:47 19 55
W W D L W
6 36 9 13 14 48:57 -9 40
D D D L L
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification