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MEXICO › LIGA MX
19.04.2026 01:07
Estadio Akron
Referee: C. A. Ramos
Guadalajara Chivas
Match Timeline
Puebla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
K. Velasco ↔ O. Gonzalez
Puebla
⚽
19'
B. Gonzalez · Assist: E. Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas
⚽
27'
R. Marin · Assist: B. Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
46'
A. Canelo ↔ A. Gamarra
Puebla
⚽
51'
B. Gutierrez · Assist: A. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
56'
R. Marin ↔ S. Sandoval
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
60'
A. Organista ↔ E. Lozano
Puebla
🔄
60'
E. Navarro ↔ L. Rey
Puebla
🔄
65'
B. Gutierrez ↔ F. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
68'
F. Monarrez
Puebla
🔄
77'
J. Castillo ↔ H. Camberos
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
78'
R. Alvarado ↔ Y. Padilla
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
78'
E. Alvarez ↔ J. Perez
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
79'
E. Navarro ↔ B. Garnica
Puebla
⚽
82'
B. Gonzalez
Guadalajara Chivas
⚽
84'
H. Camberos · Assist: S. Sandoval
Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Guadalajara Chivas Win 82%
Draw 0%
Puebla Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guadalajara Chivas1.83
Puebla1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WWDLW
59 GF / 42 GA
Puebla Puebla
WLDWL
32 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.79
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
18
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
18
5.21
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 33 matches
Puebla Puebla 31 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Statistic Puebla
19 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
59 Goals For 32
42 Goals Against 59
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
18 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 21
21 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 13
5.21 Shots On Goal 4.29
15.48 Total Shots 12.71
5.67 Corners 4.9
56% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Guadalajara Chivas's more proactive style and Puebla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guadalajara Chivas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Puebla in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Puebla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Puebla.

Guadalajara Chivas Analysis

Guadalajara Chivas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 14 matches. The return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 28:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gonzalez (24 goals), B. Gonzalez (4 goals), Daniel Aguirre (4 goals), with creative support from Richard Ledezma (8 assists), E. Alvarez (6 assists), B. Gonzalez (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Puebla Analysis

Puebla sit 16 with 13 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Gomez (7 goals), R. Marin (5 goals), C. Baltazar (4 goals), with creative support from E. Gomez (5 assists), R. Marin (5 assists), C. Baltazar (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, Puebla won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1 / Puebla 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Guadalajara Chivas wins 7, draws 4, Puebla wins 4

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs