Guadalajara Chivas vs Puebla Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
63.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- |
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guadalajara Chivas
33 matches
Puebla
31 matches
| Guadalajara Chivas | Statistic | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 18 |
| 59 | Goals For | 32 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 59 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.9 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 5.21 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 15.48 | Total Shots | 12.71 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 56% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Guadalajara Chivas's more proactive style and Puebla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Guadalajara Chivas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 31 points compared to Puebla in 16 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Puebla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Puebla.
Guadalajara Chivas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 31 points after 14 matches. The return of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 28:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Gonzalez (24 goals), B. Gonzalez (4 goals), Daniel Aguirre (4 goals), with creative support from Richard Ledezma (8 assists), E. Alvarez (6 assists), B. Gonzalez (5 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Puebla sit 16 with 13 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:17 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Gomez (7 goals), R. Marin (5 goals), C. Baltazar (4 goals), with creative support from E. Gomez (5 assists), R. Marin (5 assists), C. Baltazar (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 7 times, Puebla won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Guadalajara Chivas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
|
17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Puebla
Away
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|