ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 35.7%
Odds 3.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
35.7%
3.95
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.40
Correct Score 2-2
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Grindavik Win 34.4%
Draw 35.7%
Ægir Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Grindavik1.4
Ægir1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Grindavik Grindavik
WWDLW
9 GF / 12 GA
Ægir Ægir
WLDWL
12 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Grindavik Grindavik 9 matches
Ægir Ægir 10 matches
Grindavik Statistic Ægir
1 Wins 2
5 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
9 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 20
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ægir. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Grindavik have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ægir having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Grindavik Analysis

Grindavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 7:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Victor (3 goals), H. Eysteinsson (1 goals), H. Ragnarsson (1 goals), with creative support from H. Eysteinsson (1 assists), I. Sigurdsson (1 assists), C. Alexandersson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ægir Analysis

Ægir are currently 11 in the standings with 7 points from 9 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 11:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Willard (4 goals), J. Adeyemo (3 goals), A. Gudbjartsson (1 goals), with creative support from A. Gudbjartsson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Grindavik won 2 times, Ægir won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Grindavik's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 6.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (70.1%)
H2H summary: Grindavik wins 2, draws 0, Ægir wins 0
Last matches: Grindavik
21.06.26
1.
Grindavik
HK Kopavogur
2
2
D
17.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Fylkir
0
1
L
01.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
27.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Afturelding
1
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Leiknir R.
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Völsungur
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Grindavik
IR Reykjavik
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Njardvik
0
0
D
25.04.26
1.
Grindavik
Vestri
1
1
D
Last matches: Ægir
21.06.26
1.
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
05.06.26
1.
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
27.05.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
4
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
0
1
L
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H: Grindavik vs Ægir
25.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Ægir
7
2
W
22.06.23
H2H
Ægir
Grindavik
1
3
W
Last matches: Grindavik
17.06.26
1.
Grindavik
Fylkir
0
1
L
27.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Afturelding
1
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Völsungur
3
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Grindavik
Njardvik
0
0
D
H2H at home: Grindavik
25.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Ægir
7
2
W
Last matches: Ægir
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H away: Ægir
25.08.23
H2H
Grindavik
Ægir
7
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.71
Draw 3.95
Away 4.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.66
Draw 3.90
Away 3.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.08
Draw 2.63
Away 3.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.98
Draw 3.00
Away 3.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Under 1.5 5.40
Over 2.5 1.36
Under 2.5 2.75
Over 3.5 1.93
Under 3.5 1.72
Over 4.5 3.10
Under 4.5 1.29
Over 5.5 5.10
Under 5.5 1.11

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 24:11 13 22
W W W W L
2 10 7 0 3 19:13 6 21
W W L L W
3 11 6 1 4 21:19 2 19
W W L W W
4 9 5 1 3 23:17 6 16
L L W W W
5 10 5 1 4 18:18 0 16
D L W L W
6 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W W W L
7 10 4 2 4 13:9 4 14
W L W L W
8 9 4 0 5 17:22 -5 12
L L W W W
9 10 3 2 5 22:27 -5 11
D W L L L
10 9 1 5 3 9:12 -3 8
D L L L D
11
Ægir Away
10 2 1 7 12:20 -8 7
L L L W W
12 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D W L L L
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