Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Gremio Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gremio1.14
Sao Paulo1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gremio
WWDLW
22 GF / 24 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
3.61
Shots on Goal
4.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gremio
19 matches
Sao Paulo
18 matches
| Gremio | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 23 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.61 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 3.89 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Gremio won 6 times, Sao Paulo won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Gremio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Gremio 4-2-3-1 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gremio wins 6, draws 3, Sao Paulo wins 6
Last matches: Gremio
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Gremio vs Sao Paulo
12.02.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
L
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
18.05.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
17.07.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
3
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
31.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
18.10.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
31.08.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Gremio
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
05.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Botafogo
5
3
W
H2H at home: Gremio
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
W
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
16.10.25
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
04.06.23
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
02.12.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
14.02.21
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
24.12.20
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
01.12.19
H2H
Gremio
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Home
|
18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B