Login Register
IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
25.07.2026 16:00
Eamonn Deacy Park
Referee: P. Norton
Galway United
Match Timeline
Waterford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Hayden Cann
Waterford
🟨
25'
John Mahon
Waterford
🟨
31'
Frantz Pierrot
Galway United
🟨
33'
Pádraig Amond
Waterford
🔄
65'
L. Heeney ↔ E. McLaughlin
Waterford
🔄
68'
F. Pierrot ↔ F. Lomboto
Galway United
🔄
68'
C. Barratt ↔ M. Wolfe
Galway United
🟨
74'
Gianfranco Facchineri
Galway United
🔄
79'
E. McCarthy ↔ K. Twardek
Galway United
🟨
85'
Stephen Walsh
Galway United
🔄
86'
P. Amond ↔ J. Voilas
Waterford
🔄
89'
J. Keohane ↔ L. Devitt
Galway United
🟨
90+3'
Conan Noonan
Waterford
🟨
90'
Will Johnson
Waterford

Galway United vs Waterford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Galway United Win 40.2%
Draw 17.3%
Waterford Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Galway United1.55
Waterford1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Galway United Galway United
WWDLW
35 GF / 48 GA
Waterford Waterford
WLDWL
46 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
17
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
17
3.65
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Galway United Galway United 26 matches
Waterford Waterford 31 matches
Galway United Statistic Waterford
8 Wins 9
6 Draws 9
12 Losses 13
35 Goals For 46
48 Goals Against 57
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
17 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 14
2 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 9
3.65 Shots On Goal 3.67
11.74 Total Shots 12.17
4.52 Corners 4.83
37.3% Ball Possession 37.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Galway United expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waterford. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Galway United have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Galway United Analysis

With 27 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Galway United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 32:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Bolger (2 goals), E. McCarthy (2 goals), Kristopher Twardek (1 goals), with creative support from Kristopher Twardek (3 assists), D. Hurley (2 assists), J. Keohane (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 33:47 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (7 goals), Pádraig Amond (4 goals), J. Mahon (3 goals), with creative support from T. Lonergan (2 assists), D. McMenamy (2 assists), C. Noonan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Galway United won 8 times, Waterford won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Galway United's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Galway United 4-2-3-1 / Waterford 5-3-2
H2H summary: Galway United wins 8, draws 5, Waterford wins 2

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation