Fortaleza FC vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Fortaleza FC Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza FC1.19
Independiente Medellin1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fortaleza FC
WWDLW
36 GF / 46 GA
Independiente Medellin
WLDWL
60 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
23
BTTS Yes
28
16
Over 2.5
25
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.55
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fortaleza FC
32 matches
Independiente Medellin
42 matches
| Fortaleza FC | Statistic | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 18 |
| 15 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 36 | Goals For | 60 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.55 |
| 11.69 | Total Shots | 13.55 |
| 4.09 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 49.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza FC won 1 times, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Fortaleza FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1 / Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fortaleza FC wins 1, draws 4, Independiente Medellin wins 5
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Fortaleza FC
Home
|
19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
Post season qualification