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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
18.04.2026 14:00
Highbury Stadium
Referee: R. Martin
Fleetwood Town
Match Timeline
Chesterfield
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
59'
A. Dobra ↔ D. Duffy
Chesterfield
🔄
59'
L. Mandeville ↔ D. Markanday
Chesterfield
🔄
60'
T. Naylor ↔ J. Berry-McNally
Chesterfield
🟥
61'
Kyle McFadzean
Chesterfield
🔄
64'
L. Bonis ↔ J. Donacien
Chesterfield
⚽
67'
C. Evans · Assist: R. Coughlan
Fleetwood Town
🔄
68'
L. Gordon ↔ M. Owolabi-Belewu
Chesterfield
🔄
81'
R. Coughlan ↔ D. E. Osong
Fleetwood Town
🔄
83'
E. Bonds ↔ J. Davies
Fleetwood Town
⚽
89'
R. Stirk
Chesterfield

Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
56%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fleetwood Town Win 29.5%
Draw 8.6%
Chesterfield Win 62%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fleetwood Town1.24
Chesterfield1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WWDLW
57 GF / 58 GA
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WLDWL
68 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
30
BTTS Yes
27
22
Over 2.5
21
3.91
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 46 matches
Chesterfield Chesterfield 45 matches
Fleetwood Town Statistic Chesterfield
16 Wins 20
14 Draws 15
16 Losses 10
57 Goals For 68
58 Goals Against 56
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
30 BTTS Yes 27
33 Over 1.5 32
22 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 5
3.91 Shots On Goal 3.93
11.98 Total Shots 12.05
4.74 Corners 5.59
47.6% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Chesterfield's more proactive style and Fleetwood Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chesterfield. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chesterfield look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fleetwood Town expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

Fleetwood Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 58 points from 43 matches. Their record of 15 wins, 13 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 53:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Graydon (11 goals), M. Helm (10 goals), W. Davies (6 goals), with creative support from R. Graydon (7 assists), Ched Evans (6 assists), M. Helm (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chesterfield Analysis

So far, Chesterfield have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 72 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 19 wins, 15 draws, and 9 losses, while the 64:53 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Bonis (10 goals), Tom Naylor (8 goals), D. Markanday (7 goals), with creative support from L. Mandeville (10 assists), D. Markanday (4 assists), D. Duffy (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Fleetwood Town won 7 times, Chesterfield won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Fleetwood Town's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2 / Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Fleetwood Town wins 7, draws 4, Chesterfield wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
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