Coritiba vs Botafogo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Coritiba
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
28 matches
Botafogo
32 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 13 |
| 37 | Goals For | 44 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 5.09 |
| 11.21 | Total Shots | 14.03 |
| 3.64 | Corners | 4.31 |
| 40.4% | Ball Possession | 48.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coritiba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Botafogo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Botafogo. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 28 matches, Coritiba have collected 38 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 37:43 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (8 goals), Pedro Rocha (6 goals), J. Lavega (5 goals), with creative support from Josué (10 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 28 matches, Botafogo have collected 35 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 41:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenílson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (4 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 2 times, Botafogo won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Coritiba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 43 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Coritiba
Home
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 36 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Botafogo
Away
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|