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BOSNIA › PREMIJER LIGA
25.05.2026 18:30
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Referee: S. Topalovic
FK Sarajevo
Match Timeline
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
S. Krpic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
⚽
45'
A. Elezi · Assist: M. Kupresak
FK Sarajevo
🔄
46'
G. Cimirot ↔ R. Telalovic
FK Sarajevo
🟨
48'
E. Alic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
50'
R. Telalovic
FK Sarajevo
🔄
60'
D. Prokop ↔ E. Dragovic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
60'
D. Sabic ↔ J. Freeman
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
74'
S. Radovac ↔ D. Milosevic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
74'
S. Krpic ↔ A. Korora
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
77'
A. Elezi ↔ Renan Oliveira
FK Sarajevo
🔄
77'
Joao Carlos ↔ F. Kyeremeh
FK Sarajevo
🔄
80'
Vini Peixoto ↔ A. Rascic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🔄
82'
M. Kupresak ↔ L. Menalo
FK Sarajevo
🔄
86'
A. Ljajic ↔ S. Ignatkov
FK Sarajevo
VAR
90+1'
E. Dragovic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
🟨
90+5'
A. Pejic
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo

FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FK Sarajevo Win 66.3%
Draw 0%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
FK Sarajevo1.33
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo
WWDLW
55 GF / 42 GA
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
WLDWL
36 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
15
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 37 matches
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 37 matches
FK Sarajevo Statistic Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
19 Wins 10
8 Draws 13
10 Losses 14
55 Goals For 36
42 Goals Against 40
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
15 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights FK Sarajevo's more proactive style and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Zeljeznicar Sarajevo having the stronger overall control.

FK Sarajevo Analysis

FK Sarajevo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 59 points after 34 outings. They have recorded 17 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a 50:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Elezi (8 goals), F. Kyeremeh (6 goals), M. Kupresak (6 goals), with creative support from G. Guliashvili (8 assists), M. Kupresak (5 assists), A. Ljajic (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 41 points from 34 matches. The record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 32:34 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Jaganjac (4 goals), Vini Peixoto (4 goals), D. Lagumdzija (3 goals), with creative support from E. Odinaka (4 assists), E. Alic (3 assists), Joao Erick (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, FK Sarajevo won 4 times, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:12 from FK Sarajevo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: FK Sarajevo wins 4, draws 8, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo wins 2

Standings

Premijer Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 27 5 4 76:20 56 86
W D W W W
2 36 21 8 7 48:25 23 71
W D D W W
3 36 19 8 9 54:37 17 65
W W D W L
4 36 14 9 13 36:35 1 51
L L W D W
5 36 11 12 13 37:48 -11 45
W D D L L
6 36 10 12 14 34:37 -3 42
L D L W L
7 36 8 11 17 27:45 -18 35
L D D L L
8 36 8 10 18 21:46 -25 34
W W D L W
9 36 8 10 18 25:41 -16 34
L L D D L
10 36 7 9 20 31:55 -24 30
L D L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation