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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
19.04.2026 11:30
A. Le Coq Arena
Referee: K. Kaivoja
FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Skvortsov
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
30'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
54'
Wendell · Assist: M. Ainsalu
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
59'
S. Alamaa ↔ D. Kuraksin
Flora Tallinn
🔄
59'
R. Alliku ↔ T. Varjund
Flora Tallinn
🔄
61'
M. Skvortsov ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🟨
65'
M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
🟨
66'
S. Zenjov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
69'
I. Antonov ↔ A. Vaher
Flora Tallinn
🔄
69'
M. Kukk ↔ T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
🔄
71'
B. Tambedou ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
71'
Wendell ↔ Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
⚽
74'
R. Peetson · Assist: Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
76'
S. Zenjov ↔ A. Kaares
Flora Tallinn
🟨
79'
M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
82'
M. Ainsalu ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn

FC Levadia Tallinn vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 63.3%
Draw 5.5%
Flora Tallinn Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Levadia Tallinn1.52
Flora Tallinn1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WWDLW
20 GF / 15 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
19 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 11 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 13 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn Statistic Flora Tallinn
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 1
2 Losses 5
20 Goals For 19
15 Goals Against 14
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flora Tallinn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. Flora Tallinn arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 12 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 11:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Tambedou (4 goals), M. Skvortsov (3 goals), M. Ainsalu (2 goals), with creative support from J. Saliste (3 assists), M. Skvortsov (2 assists), M. Ainsalu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:7 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Antonov (2 goals), R. Sappinen (2 goals), S. Alamaa (2 goals), with creative support from R. Sappinen (3 assists), S. Alamaa (1 assists), S. Zenjov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Levadia Tallinn won 7 times, Flora Tallinn won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from FC Levadia Tallinn's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: FC Levadia Tallinn wins 7, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 7

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 23 6 1 82:21 61 75
W D W W W
2 30 18 1 11 59:41 18 55
L W W D W
3 30 15 6 9 48:37 11 51
L W W L W
4 30 15 5 10 52:28 24 50
L W W L L
5 30 15 2 13 41:47 -6 47
W L L W L
6 30 12 2 16 41:47 -6 38
W D W L L
7 30 10 5 15 41:59 -18 35
D L L L W
8 30 9 5 16 33:49 -16 32
W D L L W
9 30 9 1 20 47:72 -25 28
L L L W L
10 30 5 5 20 24:67 -43 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga