CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Sausalito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.2%
Odds 1.72
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.2%
1.72
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.84
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Everton de Vina Win 81.2%
Draw 7.6%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 11.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Everton de Vina1.58
Universidad de Concepcion1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Everton de Vina Everton de Vina
WWDLW
38 GF / 34 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
21 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 26 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 24 matches
Everton de Vina Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
9 Wins 6
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 13
38 Goals For 21
34 Goals Against 42
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 8
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.06
12.05 Total Shots 12.94
5.11 Corners 5.22
43.8% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Everton de Vina's more proactive style and Universidad de Concepcion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad de Concepcion. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Everton de Vina expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universidad de Concepcion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. Universidad de Concepcion arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Everton de Vina arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 27 points compared to Universidad de Concepcion in 14 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Everton de Vina Analysis

Everton de Vina come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 27 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 28:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Medina (5 goals), Julián Alfaro (3 goals), Nicolás Montiel (3 goals), with creative support from Lucas Soto (2 assists), Braian Martínez (2 assists), Julián Alfaro (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 13:30 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Cecilio Waterman (3 goals), Jeison Fuentealba (1 goals), Osvaldo González (1 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Bryan Ogaz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Everton de Vina won 4 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Everton de Vina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Everton de Vina 4-2-3-1 / Universidad de Concepcion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Everton de Vina wins 4, draws 2, Universidad de Concepcion wins 1
Last matches: Everton de Vina
16.08.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Huachipato
4
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Colo Colo
3
4
L
27.07.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
1
1
D
11.07.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
Deportes Copiapo
1
0
W
04.07.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
San Luis
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
1
3
L
20.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
San Luis
2
2
D
13.06.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
O'Higgins
3
2
W
22.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Concepción
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
D. La Serena
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Nublense
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
14.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
0
1
L
04.08.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
1
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
0
1
L
05.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
2
0
W
01.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
4
L
20.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
1
5
L
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Colo Colo
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Cobresal
1
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
1
5
L
15.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
1
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
3
L
H2H: Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion
01.03.26
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
3
W
28.12.20
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
24.01.20
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
27.09.19
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
17.02.19
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
11.08.18
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
21.04.18
H2H
Universidad de Concepcion
Everton de Vina
2
0
L
Last matches: Everton de Vina
16.08.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Colo Colo
3
4
L
26.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
Deportes Copiapo
3
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
1
3
L
20.06.26
Cop
Everton de Vina
San Luis
2
2
D
13.06.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Palestino
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Cobresal
3
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
04.04.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Nublense
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
13.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Huachipato
0
3
L
02.02.26
Pri
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
0
1
L
11.05.25
Cop
Everton de Vina
U. Catolica
2
1
W
04.04.25
Cop
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Everton de Vina
San Luis
1
0
W
07.07.24
Cop
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Chile
2
1
W
30.06.24
Cop
Everton de Vina
D. Melipilla
3
1
W
01.07.23
Cop
Everton de Vina
Union San Felipe
5
1
W
25.06.22
Cop
Everton de Vina
Magallanes
1
2
L
H2H at home: Everton de Vina
24.01.20
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
27.09.19
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
11.08.18
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
W
Last matches: Universidad de Concepcion
09.08.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Concepción
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
2
2
D
25.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
4
L
20.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Rangers de Talca
1
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
U. Catolica
1
5
L
23.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
O'Higgins
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
07.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Huachipato
1
5
L
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
D. La Serena
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
0
3
L
05.04.25
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
0
2
L
15.02.25
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
0
W
08.02.25
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Curico Unido
1
0
W
30.06.24
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Linares Unido
0
1
L
15.06.24
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Vicente Rosales
3
0
W
04.10.23
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Magallanes
2
1
W
27.07.23
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Deportes Temuco
3
0
W
08.04.23
Cop
Universidad de Concepcion
Iberia
2
0
W
H2H away: Universidad de Concepcion
24.01.20
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
L
27.09.19
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
L
11.08.18
H2H
Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.23
Draw 4.13
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.01
Draw 2.35
Home 2.29
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.84
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.45
Over 3.5 3.06
Over 4.5 5.74
Under 1.5 3.72
Under 2.0 2.92
Under 2.25 2.30
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 2.75 1.76
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 3.60
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.30
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.50
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.21
Draw 3.90
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.25
Home 2.17
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.41
Draw 2.70
Home 1.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.37
Over 2.25 1.56
Over 2.5 1.78
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.33
Over 3.25 2.53
Over 3.5 2.90
Over 3.75 3.46
Over 4.0 4.40
Over 4.25 5.41
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 4.75 7.49
Over 5.0 8.70
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.0 7.90
Under 1.25 4.74
Under 1.5 3.60
Under 1.75 3.18
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.27
Under 2.5 1.93
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 3.75 1.25
Under 4.0 1.16
Under 4.25 1.10
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.70
Draw 3.65
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 2.18
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.63
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 2.07
Over 3.0 2.48
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 4.5 5.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.0 2.65
Under 2.25 2.12
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.46
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 1 3 40:19 21 46
D W W W W
2 19 10 6 3 26:13 13 36
W W W W W
3 19 8 8 3 26:23 3 32
W W D W D
4 19 9 3 7 41:28 13 30
L W L D W
5 19 9 3 7 31:27 4 30
W L W L W
6 19 8 3 8 38:31 7 27
W L W L L
7 19 7 6 6 28:22 6 27
D W L D L
8 19 8 2 9 22:23 -1 26
W W W W W
9 17 7 4 6 24:21 3 25
D L D W D
10 19 7 3 9 24:30 -6 24
D L W L L
11 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
12 19 5 8 6 28:31 -3 23
W D L D D
13 20 5 7 8 23:26 -3 22
D D D W L
14 18 5 4 9 13:30 -17 19
L L L L D
15 19 5 2 12 26:36 -10 17
L L W D L
16 20 3 5 12 17:37 -20 14
D L L L D