Estrela
Match Timeline
Sporting CP
Estrela vs Sporting CP Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
88.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 10.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Estrela Win 45%
Draw 11.8%
Sporting CP Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Estrela1.23
Sporting CP2.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Estrela
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Sporting CP
WLDWL
17 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
4.25
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Estrela
7 matches
Sporting CP
4 matches
| Estrela | Statistic | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 0 |
| 12 | Goals For | 17 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 4.25 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.5 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Estrela won 0 times, Sporting CP won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:24 from Estrela's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.88 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Estrela 4-2-3-1 / Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Estrela wins 0, draws 1, Sporting CP wins 7
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 24 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Sporting CP
Away
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 18 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Estrela
Home
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2