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TUNISIA › LIGUE 1
11.10.2026 13:30
Metlaoui Municipal stadium

ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ES Metlaoui Win 51.4%
Draw 9.2%
Stade Tunisien Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Metlaoui0.83
Stade Tunisien1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui
WWDLW
2 GF / 4 GA
Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 4 matches
Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 3 matches
ES Metlaoui Statistic Stade Tunisien
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
2 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Metlaoui won 4 times, Stade Tunisien won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from ES Metlaoui's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
H2H summary: ES Metlaoui wins 4, draws 5, Stade Tunisien wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 3:0 3 9
W W W
2 4 3 0 1 7:6 1 9
W W L W
3 4 2 2 0 7:5 2 8
W D D W
4 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
W D W D
6 4 2 2 0 4:1 3 8
D W D W
7 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
W D W L
8 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
L D W W
9 3 1 1 1 5:4 1 4
W L D
10 4 1 1 2 5:6 -1 4
L D W L
11 4 1 1 2 2:3 -1 4
W L D L
12 4 1 0 3 3:5 -2 3
L L L W
13 4 1 0 3 2:4 -2 3
L W L L
14 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
D D L L
15 4 0 1 3 1:5 -4 1
L L L D
16 4 0 0 4 0:4 -4 0
L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2