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TUNISIA › LIGUE 1
29.04.2026 14:30
Metlaoui Municipal stadium
ES Metlaoui
Match Timeline
ES Sahel
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
40'
Y. Soltani
ES Metlaoui
🔄
46'
Y. Ben Abdallah ↔ O. Abid
ES Sahel
⚽
58'
H. Mansri
ES Metlaoui
🔄
63'
G. Naouali ↔ M. Ben Seghaier
ES Sahel
🔄
63'
M. Chouchane ↔ Cristo
ES Sahel
🔄
64'
Y. Soltani ↔ S. Bouani
ES Metlaoui
🔄
73'
M. Diame Pape ↔ A. Bangoura
ES Metlaoui
🔄
75'
S. Ben Hessen ↔ N. Smichi
ES Sahel
🔄
83'
H. Mansri ↔ I. Hermes
ES Metlaoui
🔄
84'
B. Nana ↔ B. Hajji
ES Metlaoui

ES Metlaoui vs ES Sahel Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
61%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT 2-2
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
ES Metlaoui Win 33%
Draw 22.7%
ES Sahel Win 44.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
ES Metlaoui0.71
ES Sahel0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui
WWDLW
16 GF / 24 GA
ES Sahel ES Sahel
WLDWL
25 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 26 matches
ES Sahel ES Sahel 26 matches
ES Metlaoui Statistic ES Sahel
7 Wins 10
12 Draws 8
7 Losses 8
16 Goals For 25
24 Goals Against 22
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 13
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and ES Sahel's more proactive style and ES Metlaoui's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ES Sahel. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward ES Sahel having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

ES Metlaoui Analysis

ES Metlaoui are currently 8 in the standings with 33 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Ouled Behi (6 goals), B. N. Sylla (2 goals), C. Bodian (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

ES Sahel Analysis

So far, ES Sahel have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Aouani (4 goals), M. Anane (2 goals), M. Ben Seghaier (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Seghaier (1 assists), Cristo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, ES Metlaoui won 2 times, ES Sahel won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from ES Metlaoui's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
H2H summary: ES Metlaoui wins 2, draws 5, ES Sahel wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 9 2 43:10 33 66
D W W D W
2 30 18 9 3 45:11 34 63
W L W D D
3 30 18 8 4 43:13 30 62
W W W D W
4 30 12 12 6 28:14 14 48
W D L L L
5 30 11 12 7 28:18 10 45
W L L W L
6 30 11 8 11 30:28 2 41
W W W L W
7 30 11 8 11 28:30 -2 41
L W L L W
8 30 9 13 8 19:25 -6 40
D L W W D
9 30 10 6 14 24:33 -9 36
D L L W L
10 30 8 11 11 18:22 -4 35
L D L W W
11 30 11 2 17 26:33 -7 35
D L W W L
12 30 8 9 13 18:29 -11 33
L L L L D
13 30 9 5 16 18:39 -21 32
D W L W L
14 30 9 4 17 20:41 -21 31
D W W L L
15 30 6 9 15 15:31 -16 27
L W W D W
16 30 3 9 18 11:37 -26 18
L L L L D
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation