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NIGERIA › NPFL
10.05.2026 15:00
El-Kanemi Stadium
El Kanemi Warriors
Match Timeline
Niger Tornadoes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
I. Sarki
Niger Tornadoes
🟨
32'
J. Isaac
Niger Tornadoes
🟨
45'
I. Saidu
Niger Tornadoes
🔄
53'
I. Sarki ↔ R. Mendos
Niger Tornadoes
🔄
53'
J. Godwin ↔ A. Musa
Niger Tornadoes
🔄
56'
J. Isaac ↔ D. Godwin
Niger Tornadoes
🟨
60'
L. Ahmadu
Niger Tornadoes
🔄
80'
T. Shimagande ↔ T. Lawal
Niger Tornadoes
🟨
90'
D. Godwin
Niger Tornadoes

El Kanemi Warriors vs Niger Tornadoes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
El Kanemi Warriors Win 87.1%
Draw 12.9%
Niger Tornadoes Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
El Kanemi Warriors0.86
Niger Tornadoes1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors
WWDLW
27 GF / 43 GA
Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes
WLDWL
36 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors 35 matches
Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 36 matches
El Kanemi Warriors Statistic Niger Tornadoes
12 Wins 12
7 Draws 8
16 Losses 16
27 Goals For 36
43 Goals Against 36
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 15
16 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. El Kanemi Warriors have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niger Tornadoes having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Niger Tornadoes.

El Kanemi Warriors Analysis

El Kanemi Warriors sit 15 with 46 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 30:43 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Abdulrahman (10 goals), E. Jonas (4 goals), I. Muktar (3 goals), with creative support from D. Abdulrahman (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niger Tornadoes Analysis

Niger Tornadoes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 44 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats with a 36:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Dabai (7 goals), A. Dalhatu (6 goals), T. Shimagande (6 goals), with creative support from A. Dabai (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 15 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, El Kanemi Warriors won 3 times, Niger Tornadoes won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from El Kanemi Warriors's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: El Kanemi Warriors wins 3, draws 2, Niger Tornadoes wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 19 11 8 47:27 20 68
W W W W D
2 38 19 10 9 44:31 13 67
W W W L W
3 38 18 6 14 41:40 1 60
L W W W D
4 38 16 10 12 43:39 4 58
L L W L W
5 38 16 8 14 37:34 3 56
L W L W L
6 38 16 7 15 31:34 -3 55
L L L W L
7 37 13 14 10 43:38 5 53
D L W W W
8 38 13 13 12 34:30 4 52
W L W L W
9 37 14 10 13 36:38 -2 52
L W L W L
10 38 15 6 17 37:39 -2 51
L W L W L
11 38 15 5 18 39:40 -1 50
W L L D L
12 38 13 11 14 35:36 -1 50
L W D W D
13 38 13 10 15 44:42 2 49
W L W L W
14 38 13 10 15 42:43 -1 49
W W W D W
15 38 13 10 15 36:41 -5 49
W L W L L
16 38 13 9 16 37:36 1 48
W D D L D
17 38 14 5 19 42:47 -5 47
D W L W L
18 38 13 8 17 30:46 -16 47
L D L L W
19 38 11 10 17 37:42 -5 43
W L L L L
20 38 9 13 16 36:48 -12 40
L L L L W
Champions League
CAF Confederation Cup
Relegation