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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
30.09.2026 18:45
Silverlake Stadium
Eastleigh
Match Timeline
Southend
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
P. Omochere · Assist: R. Colclough
Southend
🟨
32'
J. Lundstram
Eastleigh
🟨
44'
T. Dobson-Ventura
Eastleigh
🔄
53'
R. Colclough ↔ Z. Massiah-Edwards
Southend
🟨
58'
V. Daley-Campbell
Southend
🔄
62'
J. Williams ↔ H. Sidwell
Eastleigh
🔄
62'
J. Caprice ↔ D. Rankine
Eastleigh
🔄
63'
P. Omochere ↔ H. Cardwell
Southend
🔄
63'
S. Kamara ↔ L. Twamley
Southend
🔄
72'
L. Chambers-Parillon ↔ S. Austin
Southend
🔄
74'
W. Randall ↔ M. Dickov
Eastleigh
🔄
79'
J. Cousins ↔ S. Bamey
Eastleigh
🟨
90+4'
A. Hartigan
Southend
⚽
90'
T. Eweka
Eastleigh

Eastleigh vs Southend Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
1.80 ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.59 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.50 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Eastleigh Win 35.8%
Draw 10.5%
Southend Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Eastleigh1.18
Southend2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Eastleigh Eastleigh
WWDLW
15 GF / 27 GA
Southend Southend
WLDWL
33 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.53
9
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Eastleigh Eastleigh 16 matches
Southend Southend 15 matches
Eastleigh Statistic Southend
4 Wins 7
2 Draws 4
10 Losses 4
15 Goals For 33
27 Goals Against 23
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53
9 BTTS Yes 13
11 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Southend carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 20 points while Eastleigh sit 12 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Eastleigh Analysis

Eastleigh are currently 12 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 11:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Southend Analysis

Southend approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 20 points after 9 outings. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:12, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Eastleigh won 3 times, Southend won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Eastleigh's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
H2H summary: Eastleigh wins 3, draws 1, Southend wins 7

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
5 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
6 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
11 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation