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IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
19.06.2026 18:45
Weavers Park
Referee: A. Hunter
Drogheda United
Match Timeline
Shelbourne
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
H. Wood
Shelbourne
🟨
19'
P. Barrett
Shelbourne
⚽
24'
T. Oluwa · Assist: B. Kavanagh
Drogheda United
⚽
36'
M. Doyle · Assist: J. Bucknor
Drogheda United
🔄
46'
P. Barrett ↔ J. Norris
Shelbourne
🔄
51'
W. Jarvis ↔ D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🔄
51'
M. Odubeko ↔ S. Boyd
Shelbourne
🔄
54'
S. Farrell ↔ E. O'Brien
Drogheda United
⚽
64'
H. Wood · Assist: D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🔄
67'
A. Coote ↔ S. Moore
Shelbourne
🟨
71'
R. Brennan
Drogheda United
🔄
75'
M. Doyle ↔ J. Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
77'
H. Wood ↔ J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne
🔄
78'
J. Bucknor ↔ D. Kareem
Drogheda United
🟨
83'
K. Doherty
Drogheda United
🟨
85'
D. Kelly
Shelbourne
🟨
87'
J. Henry-Francis
Shelbourne

Drogheda United vs Shelbourne Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Drogheda United Win 37.1%
Draw 18.3%
Shelbourne Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Drogheda United1.3
Shelbourne1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WWDLW
30 GF / 37 GA
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WLDWL
40 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
16
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
16
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Drogheda United Drogheda United 23 matches
Shelbourne Shelbourne 24 matches
Drogheda United Statistic Shelbourne
6 Wins 10
8 Draws 9
9 Losses 5
30 Goals For 40
37 Goals Against 31
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
16 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
9.9 Total Shots 13.85
3.95 Corners 5.1
40% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Shelbourne's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shelbourne. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Drogheda United Analysis

So far, Drogheda United have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 21 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 25:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (8 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (4 assists), K. Cruise (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shelbourne Analysis

Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 26 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 27:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wood (7 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wood (3 assists), M. Lundgren (3 assists), J. Martin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Drogheda United won 3 times, Shelbourne won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Drogheda United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Drogheda United 4-2-3-1 / Shelbourne 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Drogheda United wins 3, draws 7, Shelbourne wins 5

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 8 6 52:32 20 62
W W L D D
2 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
3 32 17 8 7 57:38 19 59
W W W W W
4 33 10 13 10 47:46 1 43
W D W L L
5 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
6 33 10 11 12 50:55 -5 41
L L L D W
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 33 8 10 15 39:54 -15 34
L L W W L
10 33 5 8 20 25:59 -34 23
L L L L L
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation