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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
01.05.2026 17:00
Druzhba
Referee: G. Stoyanov
Dobrudzha
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Caue Caruzo · Assist: S. Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
⚽
17'
B. Katsarov · Assist: S. Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
28'
A. Angelov ↔ B. Hanne
Dobrudzha
🟨
52'
Vasco Oliveira
Dobrudzha
🔄
55'
D. Yankov ↔ A. Taoui
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
60'
A. Ramadan ↔ Valdumar
Dobrudzha
🔄
60'
G. Trifonov ↔ T. Costa Silva
Dobrudzha
🔄
68'
K. Stanev ↔ B. Kostov
Dobrudzha
🔄
68'
D. Madaleno ↔ D. Ressurreicao
Dobrudzha
🟨
70'
Reyan Daskalov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
73'
Ivaylo Mihaylov
Dobrudzha
🔄
75'
Caue Caruzo ↔ N. Neychev
Lokomotiv Sofia
⚽
76'
A. Taoui · Assist: S. Delev
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
84'
A. Lyaskov ↔ D. Ali
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
85'
G. Minchev ↔ J. Ibe
Lokomotiv Sofia
🔄
85'
S. Delev ↔ E. Gerov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟨
88'
Reyan Daskalov
Lokomotiv Sofia
🟥
88'
Reyan Daskalov
Lokomotiv Sofia

Dobrudzha vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dobrudzha Win 73.9%
Draw 6.6%
Lokomotiv Sofia Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dobrudzha0.96
Lokomotiv Sofia1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
WWDLW
23 GF / 44 GA
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
WLDWL
41 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
11
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
15
2.66
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 31 matches
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 31 matches
Dobrudzha Statistic Lokomotiv Sofia
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 11
19 Losses 11
23 Goals For 41
44 Goals Against 40
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
11 BTTS Yes 18
21 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 7
16 Failed To Score 9
2.66 Shots On Goal 3.24
7.31 Total Shots 7.9
3.17 Corners 3.62
34.2% Ball Possession 36.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Lokomotiv Sofia's more proactive style and Dobrudzha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lokomotiv Sofia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dobrudzha expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Lokomotiv Sofia in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv Sofia having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Dobrudzha Analysis

With 26 points from 31 games and a place of 14, Dobrudzha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 23:44, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Ivaylo Mihaylov (7 goals), L. Cardoso (4 goals), T. Costa Silva (3 goals), with creative support from A. Ramadan (4 assists), Matheus Leoni (3 assists), T. Costa Silva (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lokomotiv Sofia Analysis

Lokomotiv Sofia sit 11 with 38 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 41:40, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Delev (8 goals), A. Aralica (6 goals), Caue Caruzo (6 goals), with creative support from S. Delev (9 assists), Caue Caruzo (4 assists), Krasimir Stanoev (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Dobrudzha won 1 times, Lokomotiv Sofia won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:19 from Dobrudzha's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.78 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Dobrudzha 3-5-2 / Lokomotiv Sofia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Dobrudzha wins 1, draws 2, Lokomotiv Sofia wins 6

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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