Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Dundalk Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.44
Dundalk1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
49 GF / 52 GA
Dundalk
WLDWL
56 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
23
BTTS Yes
27
19
Over 2.5
23
4
Shots on Goal
4.97
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
38 matches
Dundalk
35 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 14 | Draws | 11 |
| 15 | Losses | 13 |
| 49 | Goals For | 56 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.97 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 15.42 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 5.55 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 50.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 4 times, Dundalk won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:17 from Derry City's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derry City 3-4-3 / Dundalk 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derry City wins 4, draws 8, Dundalk wins 3
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 62 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 57:38 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Derry City
Home
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 5 |
Dundalk
Away
|
33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 50:55 | -5 | 41 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 38 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39:54 | -15 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation