Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Portsmouth Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.19
Portsmouth1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
WWDLW
16 GF / 23 GA
Portsmouth
WLDWL
14 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
9
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derby
15 matches
Portsmouth
14 matches
| Derby | Statistic | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 16 | Goals For | 14 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 15.75 |
| 5.78 | Corners | 6.63 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 52.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 4 times, Portsmouth won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:11 from Derby's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Derby wins 4, draws 6, Portsmouth wins 1
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 16 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 12 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 10 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 9 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
Portsmouth
Away
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 7 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 23 |
Derby
Home
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 24 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One