URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: M. De Armas
Deportivo Maldonado
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Luciano Boggio
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
S. Ramirez ↔ S. Cartagena
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
56'
Maximiliano Noble
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
66'
R. Martinez ↔ J. De Los Santos
Club Nacional
🟨
68'
Agustín Dos Santos
Club Nacional
🟨
69'
Juan Martin Ginzo
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
69'
Facundo Tealde
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
73'
R. Cesar ↔ G. Larrazabal
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
73'
T. Veron ↔ B. Arady
Club Nacional
🔄
73'
A. dos Santos ↔ N. Lopez
Club Nacional
79'
C. Tabo
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
80'
A. M. Noble Sequeira ↔ L. Nunez
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
82'
Ignacio Suárez
Club Nacional
82'
F. Tealde
Deportivo Maldonado
🟨
83'
Sebastián Coates
Club Nacional
🔄
86'
C. Tabo ↔ N. Fuica
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
86'
M. Espindola ↔ E. de Leon
Deportivo Maldonado
🔄
88'
A. Rogel ↔ C. Candido
Club Nacional
🔄
88'
L. Boggio ↔ P. Nunez
Club Nacional
90'
G. Larrazabal
Deportivo Maldonado

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Maldonado Win 61.5%
Draw 8%
Club Nacional Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Maldonado1.53
Club Nacional1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
WWDLW
28 GF / 18 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
36 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
11
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 17 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 23 matches
Deportivo Maldonado Statistic Club Nacional
10 Wins 11
3 Draws 3
4 Losses 9
28 Goals For 36
18 Goals Against 31
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
11 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 17
9 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 4
0 Total Shots 9.83
0 Corners 5
0% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Nacional. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Club Nacional arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Deportivo Maldonado Analysis

Deportivo Maldonado come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 15 matches. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. M. Noble Sequeira (6 goals), Christian Tabó (6 goals), R. Cesar (3 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Club Nacional Analysis

Club Nacional sit 7 with 22 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Gomez (11 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maldonado won 6 times, Club Nacional won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Deportivo Maldonado's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-3 / Club Nacional 4-3-3
H2H summary: Deportivo Maldonado wins 6, draws 3, Club Nacional wins 5

Lineups

Deportivo Maldonado
Formation
Club Nacional
D. Segovia
D. Segovia
J. M. Ginzo
J. M. Ginzo
H. Menosse
H. Menosse
F. Tealde
F. Tealde
J. Ramos
J. Ramos
C. Tabo
C. Tabo
M. Gonzalez
M. Gonzalez
M. Espindola
M. Espindola
R. Cesar
R. Cesar
A. M. Noble Sequeira
A. M. Noble Sequeira
S. Ramirez
S. Ramirez
I. Suarez
I. Suarez
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
S. Coates
S. Coates
A. Rogel
A. Rogel
T. Viera
T. Viera
A. dos Santos
A. dos Santos
J. I. Garcia Lantean
J. I. Garcia Lantean
L. Boggio
L. Boggio
T. Veron
T. Veron
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
R. Martinez
R. Martinez
Deportivo Maldonado 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
D. Segovia
G
4
J. M. Ginzo
🟨 69'
D
3
H. Menosse
D
19
F. Tealde
⚽ 82' 🟨 69'
D
22
J. Ramos
D
14
C. Tabo
⚽ 79' ↓ 86'
F
8
M. Gonzalez
M
21
M. Espindola
↓ 86'
M
16
R. Cesar
↓ 73'
F
10
A. M. Noble Sequeira
↓ 80'
17
S. Ramirez
↓ 46'
M
Substitutes
12
V. F. Ortiz Ferreira
20
S. Tormo
D
15
S. Gonzalez
M
33
N. Fuica
↑ 86'
D
11
G. Lopez
M
5
L. Nunez
↑ 80'
M
28
S. Cartagena
↑ 46'
M
7
G. Larrazabal
⚽ 90' ↑ 73'
32
H. Petryk
D
9
E. de Leon
↑ 86'
F
Club Nacional 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
I. Suarez
🟨 82'
77
N. Rodriguez
D
4
S. Coates
🟨 83'
D
2
A. Rogel
↓ 88'
D
32
T. Viera
D
10
A. dos Santos
↓ 73' 🟨 68'
M
56
J. I. Garcia Lantean
M
6
L. Boggio
↓ 88' 🟨 8'
M
27
T. Veron
↓ 73'
M
9
M. Gomez
F
31
R. Martinez
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
40
J. Bianchi
15
P. Calione
D
13
E. Ancheta
D
5
J. Pintado
D
21
C. Candido
↑ 88'
D
8
M. Vera
M
19
J. De Los Santos
↑ 66'
M
26
B. Arady
↑ 73'
M
7
N. Lopez
↑ 73'
F
18
P. Nunez
↑ 88'
F
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
06.06.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Liverpool Montevideo
2
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Espanol
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
0
0
D
02.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Penarol
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Racing Montevideo
4
2
W
Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
H2H: Deportivo Maldonado vs Club Nacional
31.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
W
11.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
14.01.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
16.11.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
5
2
L
20.05.24
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
2
L
23.10.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
W
17.06.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
4
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
2
1
W
06.02.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
3
W
13.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
0
W
01.08.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
0
L
28.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
2
L
11.10.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
Last matches: Deportivo Maldonado
18.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Albion FC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
02.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Juventud
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
2
0
W
H2H at home: Deportivo Maldonado
31.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
W
11.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
W
20.05.24
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
2
L
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
2
1
W
13.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
0
W
28.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
2
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
0
0
D
12.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
CA River Plate
3
0
W
H2H away: Club Nacional
31.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
3
0
L
11.04.26
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
4
2
L
20.05.24
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
2
1
L
13.11.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
0
L
28.03.21
H2H
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
1
2
W