PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: M. Espinoza
Deportivo Garcilaso
Match Timeline
Juan Pablo II College
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez · Assist: F. Arancibia
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
9'
Christopher Olivares
Deportivo Garcilaso
16'
C. Olivares · Assist: F. Arancibia
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
23'
Jorge Toledo
Juan Pablo II College
VAR
31'
Cristian García
Juan Pablo II College
🟥
33'
Cristian García
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
35'
N. Ramirez ↔ J. Canova
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
46'
A. Henricks ↔ M. Juambeltz
Juan Pablo II College
50'
B. Da Silva
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
57'
C. Cueva ↔ R. Aliaga
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
58'
C. Tizon ↔ H. Bazan
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
60'
A. Salazar ↔ S. Villacorta
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
60'
C. Torrejon ↔ A. Ascues
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
67'
O. Nunez ↔ H. Benincasa
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
67'
A. Gonzalez ↔ S. Ramirez
Deportivo Garcilaso
VAR
76'
Fabio Agurto
Juan Pablo II College
77'
E. Ramirez
Juan Pablo II College
🟨
79'
Carlos Ramos
Deportivo Garcilaso
81'
S. Ramirez · Assist: A. Ascues
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
82'
P. Fuentes ↔ A. Espinoza
Juan Pablo II College
🔄
85'
F. Arancibia ↔ J. Mendoza
Deportivo Garcilaso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 83.5%
Draw 0%
Juan Pablo II College Win 16.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Garcilaso1.48
Juan Pablo II College1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
WLDWL
24 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
2.12
8
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 16 matches
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College 17 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Statistic Juan Pablo II College
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
5 Losses 8
17 Goals For 24
17 Goals Against 36
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 2.12
8 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 2.94
11.88 Total Shots 8.5
3.63 Corners 3.5
46.9% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juan Pablo II College. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Deportivo Garcilaso come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Garcilaso arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 22 points compared to Juan Pablo II College in 15 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 17:17 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Da Silva (5 goals), C. Olivares (4 goals), F. Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), C. Olivares (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juan Pablo II College Analysis

Juan Pablo II College approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 16 points from 16 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 21:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Alaniz (4 goals), M. Juambeltz (3 goals), P. Fuentes (3 goals), with creative support from M. Alaniz (6 assists), C. Cueva (3 assists), M. Juambeltz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 3 times, Juan Pablo II College won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:1 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1 / Juan Pablo II College 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportivo Garcilaso wins 3, draws 0, Juan Pablo II College wins 0
Stats
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College Juan Pablo II College
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
0 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
338 Total passes 337
293 Passes accurate 289
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Deportivo Garcilaso
Formation
Juan Pablo II College
P. Zubczuk
P. Zubczuk
A. Salazar
A. Salazar
J. Portales
J. Portales
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
O. Nunez
O. Nunez
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
C. Torrejon
C. Torrejon
F. Arancibia
🎯
F. Arancibia
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
B. Da Silva
B. Da Silva
C. Olivares
C. Olivares
M. Vega
M. Vega
J. Toledo
J. Toledo
C. Garcia
C. Garcia
P. Fuentes
P. Fuentes
F. Agurto
F. Agurto
J. Duran
J. Duran
N. Ramirez
N. Ramirez
C. Cueva
C. Cueva
C. Tizon
C. Tizon
E. Ramirez
E. Ramirez
A. Henricks
A. Henricks
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Zubczuk
G
2
A. Salazar
↓ 60'
D
22
J. Portales
D
19
A. Gomez
D
16
O. Nunez
↓ 67'
D
18
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
⚽ 5' 🟨 79'
M
14
C. Torrejon
↓ 60'
M
11
F. Arancibia
🎯 5' 🎯 16' ↓ 85'
M
8
A. Gonzalez
↓ 67'
M
30
B. Da Silva
⚽ 50'
24
C. Olivares
⚽ 16' 🟨 9'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Barbieri
G
6
I. A. Garrafa Tapia
M
7
J. Sinisterra
F
33
S. Villacorta
↑ 60'
D
35
J. Mendoza
↑ 85'
M
13
H. Benincasa
↑ 67'
D
27
A. Ascues
🎯 81' ↑ 60'
M
17
S. Ramirez
⚽ 81' ↑ 67'
F
34
B. Yupanqui
Juan Pablo II College 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
23
M. Vega
G
31
J. Toledo
🟨 23'
D
5
C. Garcia
🟥 33'
D
6
P. Fuentes
↓ 82'
D
26
F. Agurto
D
28
J. Duran
M
15
N. Ramirez
↓ 35'
M
10
C. Cueva
↓ 57'
M
29
C. Tizon
↓ 58'
M
18
E. Ramirez
⚽ 77'
F
7
A. Henricks
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
I. Quispe
G
20
H. Bazan
↑ 58'
39
M. Juambeltz
↑ 46'
F
11
R. Aliaga
↑ 57'
M
17
A. Espinoza
↑ 82'
8
C. Flores
M
30
J. Canova
↑ 35'
D
80
J. Barreto
M
13
B. Puno
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
25.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
3
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
22.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
01.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cusco
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sporting Cristal
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
31.01.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
3
3
D
24.01.26
Fri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
3
0
W
H2H: Deportivo Garcilaso vs Juan Pablo II College
30.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
W
13.10.25
H2H
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
0
W
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
28.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
H2H at home: Deportivo Garcilaso
30.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
0
W
Last matches: Juan Pablo II College
10.05.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
0
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
0
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
ADT
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
1
6
L
H2H away: Juan Pablo II College
30.05.26
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)