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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
22.04.2026 18:00
Estadio Jocay
Referee: Bryan Loayza, Ecuador
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Independiente del Valle
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+3'
Juan Cavallaro
Delfin SC
🔄
46'
J. Viacava ↔ M. Carabajal
Independiente del Valle
⚽
48'
J. Lerma · Assist: D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🟨
52'
Luis Castro
Delfin SC
🔄
57'
L. Castro ↔ I. A. Molinas
Delfin SC
🔄
62'
E. Pata ↔ A. Rodriguez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
62'
D. Reasco ↔ C. Gonzalez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
64'
J. Cavallaro ↔ B. Hernandez
Delfin SC
🔄
64'
J. Morocho ↔ E. Yepez
Delfin SC
🟨
70'
Erik Yepez
Delfin SC
🔄
78'
J. Lerma ↔ J. Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🔄
86'
J. L. Castillo Saa ↔ T. Ozaeta
Delfin SC
🔄
87'
Y. Ochoa ↔ R. Briones
Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 38%
Draw 17.5%
Independiente del Valle Win 44.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.73
Independiente del Valle1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WLDWL
20 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
1
BTTS Yes
6
0
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
5.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 10 matches
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 12 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Independiente del Valle
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
5 Goals For 20
4 Goals Against 13
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
1 BTTS Yes 6
1 Over 1.5 11
0 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
3.67 Shots On Goal 5.91
12.33 Total Shots 19.73
3.44 Corners 7.09
38.6% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independiente del Valle. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Independiente del Valle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 19 points while Delfin SC sit 9 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Delfin SC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Independiente del Valle in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente del Valle having the stronger overall control.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC are currently 9 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 4:4 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Ayunta (2 goals), E. Mendoza (1 goals), Marcos Mejía (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independiente del Valle Analysis

Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 19 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Rodriguez (2 goals), C. Gonzalez (2 goals), D. Reasco (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (2 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), Daykol Romero (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 4 times, Independiente del Valle won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:22 from Delfin SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-1-4-1 / Independiente del Valle 4-3-3
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 4, draws 3, Independiente del Valle wins 8

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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