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BRAZIL › SERIE A
24.05.2026 19:00
Governador Magalhães Pinto
Referee: Flavio Rodrigues De Souza, Brazil
Cruzeiro
Match Timeline
Chapecoense-sc
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Eduardo Doma
Chapecoense-sc
⚽
27'
Kaio Jorge
Cruzeiro
VAR
34'
Luis Sinisterra
Cruzeiro
🔄
39'
Eduardo Doma ↔ Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
41'
Rafael Carvalheira
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
46'
Marcinho ↔ Maurício Garcez
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
48'
Kaique Kenji
Cruzeiro
🔄
64'
Kaique Kenji ↔ Christian
Cruzeiro
🔄
66'
Vinicius Balieiro ↔ Higor Meritão
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
66'
Everton ↔ Marcos Vinícius
Chapecoense-sc
🟨
71'
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
Chapecoense-sc
⚽
73'
Luis Sinisterra · Assist: Christian
Cruzeiro
🔄
78'
Luis Sinisterra ↔ Bruno Rodrigues
Cruzeiro
⚽
79'
João Paulo · Assist: Bruno Pacheco
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
81'
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida ↔ Jean Carlos
Chapecoense-sc
VAR
90+1'
Maurício Garcez
Chapecoense-sc
🔄
90'
Kauã Moraes ↔ Fagner
Cruzeiro
🔄
90'
Kaio Jorge ↔ Néiser Villarreal
Cruzeiro
🔄
90'
Lucas Romero ↔ Matheus Henrique
Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 5.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
5.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 100%
Draw 0%
Chapecoense-sc Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.51
Chapecoense-sc1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
WLDWL
16 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
2
12
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
7
4.29
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 21 matches
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 15 matches
Cruzeiro Statistic Chapecoense-sc
7 Wins 1
7 Draws 6
7 Losses 8
25 Goals For 16
29 Goals Against 30
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 2
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
4.29 Shots On Goal 3.4
12.81 Total Shots 13
4.48 Corners 3.8
54.7% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chapecoense-sc. Chapecoense-sc arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruzeiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Chapecoense-sc in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chapecoense-sc having the stronger overall control. Cruzeiro arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 20 points compared to Chapecoense-sc in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cruzeiro Analysis

Cruzeiro sit 13 with 20 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (3 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), with creative support from L. Romero (3 assists), Christian (2 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chapecoense-sc Analysis

With 9 points from 15 games and a place of 20, Chapecoense-sc still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through W. Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Neto Pessoa (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Carlos (2 assists), Bruno Pacheco (2 assists), W. Clar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 7 times, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Chapecoense-sc 3-4-3
Missing players: Cruzeiro 4, Chapecoense-sc 5
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 7, draws 4, Chapecoense-sc wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 18 7 4 57:25 32 61
D W W W W
2 29 17 9 3 48:21 27 60
W D W D D
3 29 14 9 6 48:36 12 51
W W L W D
4 29 14 8 7 45:34 11 50
D W D L D
5 29 14 6 9 44:40 4 48
W W L W L
6 30 13 8 9 41:35 6 47
W D W D W
7 29 12 10 7 43:36 7 46
L L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 46:45 1 42
L D W W W
9 30 11 6 13 35:35 0 39
W L L W L
10 29 10 8 11 37:47 -10 38
L L D L W
11 29 10 7 12 34:33 1 37
D L L D L
12 30 10 6 14 33:44 -11 36
L W L D W
13 29 9 8 12 42:47 -5 35
L L W D D
14 29 9 8 12 36:42 -6 35
D W W W L
15 29 8 9 12 34:43 -9 33
D W D W L
16 29 8 8 13 30:34 -4 32
L L L L L
17 29 7 10 12 32:37 -5 31
W L W L L
18 29 7 9 13 31:39 -8 30
D D L L L
19 30 5 10 15 33:48 -15 25
D D L L L
20 28 3 9 16 29:57 -28 18
L D L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B