Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
49 matches
Nottingham Forest
50 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 18 |
| 10 | Draws | 13 |
| 16 | Losses | 19 |
| 93 | Goals For | 68 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 34 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 5.12 | Shots On Goal | 4.8 |
| 14.2 | Total Shots | 14.02 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 5.54 |
| 58.6% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Chelsea's more proactive style and Nottingham Forest's more cautious structure. Nottingham Forest seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nottingham Forest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chelsea expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nottingham Forest in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nottingham Forest having the stronger overall control.
Chelsea sit 9 with 48 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats with a 53:45 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro (14 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (8 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with L. Colwill, R. James, F. Jorgensen, M. Mudryk unavailable.
Nottingham Forest sit 16 with 39 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 41:45 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Gibbs-White (13 goals), Igor Jesus (5 goals), C. Hudson-Odoi (3 goals), with creative support from Igor Jesus (4 assists), C. Hudson-Odoi (4 assists), O. Hutchinson (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with W. Boly, I. Sangare, Cunha unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 6 times, Nottingham Forest won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:11 from Chelsea's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
Away
|
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|