Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cerro Largo
16 matches
Boston River
16 matches
| Cerro Largo | Statistic | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 16 | Goals For | 18 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerro Largo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Boston River in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boston River. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
With 17 points from 15 games and a place of 12, Cerro Largo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (4 goals), D. Daguerre (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 17 points from 15 games and a place of 13, Boston River still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 14:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on F. Bonfiglio (4 goals), F. Munoa (3 goals), L. Suhr (3 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Largo won 4 times, Boston River won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:19 from Cerro Largo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Rentistas
Cerro Largo
Tacuarembo
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Miramar
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Tacuarembo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Rampla Juniors
Boston River
Progreso
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cerro Largo
Home
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Boston River
Away
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|