WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Cyncoed Campus
Referee: M. James

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.5%
Odds 6.35
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.5%
6.35
BTTS No
55%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.29
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.2%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-0
-
34.00
Probability Distribution
Cardiff MET Win 71.5%
Draw 4.6%
The New Saints Win 23.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff MET1.74
The New Saints0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff MET Cardiff MET
WWDLW
19 GF / 5 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.38
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 8 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 9 matches
Cardiff MET Statistic The New Saints
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 3
19 Goals For 8
5 Goals Against 7
2.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
4 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 11.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff MET won 3 times, The New Saints won 12 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:60 from Cardiff MET's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Cardiff MET - / The New Saints 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cardiff MET wins 3, draws 0, The New Saints wins 12
Last matches: Cardiff MET
15.08.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Barry Town
0
1
L
07.08.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Airbus UK
2
0
W
01.08.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Holywell
6
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Ebbsfleet United
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Brackley Town
0
0
D
07.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Carmarthen Town
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Afan Lido
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Pontardawe Town
5
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
1
3
L
28.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
1
W
20.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Penybont
1
1
D
30.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
Last matches: The New Saints
14.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
0
0
D
30.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
14.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
1
2
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
20.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
6
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
13.01.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
0
W
H2H: Cardiff MET vs The New Saints
21.11.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
1
W
07.11.25
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
2
3
W
19.09.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
22.03.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
6
L
01.02.25
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
L
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
2
L
16.11.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
12.10.24
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
5
L
30.03.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
6
L
02.03.24
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
4
0
L
06.01.24
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
8
0
L
22.09.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
5
L
25.03.23
H2H
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
7
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
3
2
W
Last matches: Cardiff MET
01.08.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Holywell
6
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Brackley Town
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Afan Lido
2
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Cardiff MET
Pontardawe Town
5
0
W
18.04.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
2
2
D
28.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
0
2
L
13.02.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
23.01.26
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
2
L
30.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Haverfordwest County AFC
0
0
D
16.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Briton Ferry
2
2
D
05.12.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
llanelli AFC
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
3
L
25.10.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Flint Town United
4
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Bala Town
2
0
W
23.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Penybont
0
4
L
19.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
06.09.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Colwyn Bay
1
4
L
25.08.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Barry Town
1
1
D
09.08.25
Pre
Cardiff MET
Caernarfon Town
2
2
D
H2H at home: Cardiff MET
21.11.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
22.03.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
6
L
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
2
L
16.11.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
L
13.04.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
5
L
30.03.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
6
L
22.09.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
5
L
11.02.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
3
2
W
Last matches: The New Saints
02.08.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.07.26
UEF
The New Saints
Sabah FA
0
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
H&W Welders
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
The New Saints
Glentoran
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
1
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
Penybont
2
1
W
03.03.26
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
31.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pre
The New Saints
Briton Ferry
2
0
W
14.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Flint Town United
3
0
W
01.11.25
Pre
The New Saints
Haverfordwest County AFC
3
2
W
24.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
llanelli AFC
4
0
W
07.10.25
Pre
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
3
1
W
26.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Bala Town
2
0
W
19.09.25
Pre
The New Saints
Cardiff MET
3
1
W
30.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Barry Town
0
0
D
25.08.25
Pre
The New Saints
Colwyn Bay
1
1
D
H2H away: The New Saints
21.11.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
W
22.03.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
6
W
14.01.25
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
2
W
16.11.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
3
W
13.04.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
0
5
W
30.03.24
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
2
6
W
22.09.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
1
5
W
11.02.23
H2H
Cardiff MET
The New Saints
3
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.43
Draw 4.55
Home 6.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 2.60
Home 6.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.30
Over 2.25 1.43
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 2.75 1.74
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.54
Over 3.75 3.01
Under 2.0 3.31
Under 2.25 2.71
Under 2.5 2.29
Under 2.75 2.05
Under 3.0 1.81
Under 3.25 1.61
Under 3.5 1.48
Under 3.75 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.40
Draw 4.50
Home 5.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 2.50
Home 6.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.73
Draw 2.88
Home 5.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.33
Draw 4.75
Home 7.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.82
Draw 2.47
Home 6.61
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.64
Draw 2.98
Home 6.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.05
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.16
Over 2.0 1.20
Over 2.25 1.37
Over 2.5 1.55
Over 2.75 1.67
Over 3.0 1.85
Over 3.25 2.14
Over 3.5 2.35
Over 3.75 2.77
Over 4.0 3.50
Over 4.25 3.88
Over 4.5 4.20
Over 4.75 5.30
Over 5.0 5.90
Over 5.5 7.20
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 13.80
Under 1.0 10.00
Under 1.25 6.60
Under 1.5 4.65
Under 1.75 4.16
Under 2.0 3.70
Under 2.25 2.72
Under 2.5 2.29
Under 2.75 2.03
Under 3.0 1.77
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 3.75 1.37
Under 4.0 1.22
Under 4.25 1.19
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.44
Draw 4.10
Home 5.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 2.48
Home 5.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.55
Over 3.5 2.38
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.5 2.18
Under 3.5 1.47

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 10:3 7 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:3 3 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 5:1 4 7
W W D
4 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
W W D
5 3 2 0 1 10:3 7 6
W W L
6 3 2 0 1 8:2 6 6
L W W
7 3 2 0 1 6:3 3 6
W L W
8 3 2 0 1 3:2 1 6
W L W
9 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
L D W
10 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
W D L
11 3 1 1 1 4:5 -1 4
L D W
12 3 0 1 2 3:6 -3 1
L D L
13 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
14 3 0 0 3 0:6 -6 0
L L L
15 3 0 0 3 3:12 -9 0
L L L
16 3 0 0 3 0:12 -12 0
L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)