Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.4%
|
2.51 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.90 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
69.9%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burton Albion
11 matches
Mansfield Town
9 matches
| Burton Albion | Statistic | Mansfield Town |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 12 | Goals For | 16 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.17 | Shots On Goal | 3.67 |
| 9.5 | Total Shots | 12.83 |
| 2.83 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 43.2% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Burton Albion's more proactive style and Mansfield Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Mansfield Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mansfield Town. Burton Albion arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 8 points compared to Mansfield Town in 17 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Burton Albion expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Mansfield Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control.
Burton Albion are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Delap (2 goals), C. Webster (1 goals), K. Chauke (1 goals), with creative support from K. Lofthouse (3 assists), J. Armer (1 assists), Sulyman Krubally (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Mansfield Town approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 6 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on N. Moriah-Welsh (2 goals), Jon Russell (2 goals), L. Reed (1 goals), with creative support from N. Moriah-Welsh (1 assists), Jon Russell (1 assists), R. Oates (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 5 times, Mansfield Town won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Burton Albion's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 12 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 |
Burton Albion
Home
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 12 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Mansfield Town
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|