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26.09.2026 16:00
Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo)
Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
Bulgaria
Match Timeline
Luxembourg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
Asen Chandarov · Assist: Dimitar Velkovski
Bulgaria
🟨
28'
Lukas Petkov
Bulgaria
🟨
35'
Emil Tsenov
Bulgaria
⚽
37'
Leandro Barreiro
Luxembourg
🟨
45+2'
Tomas de Sousa Moreira
Luxembourg
🔄
46'
Georgi Rusev ↔ Stanislav Ivanov
Bulgaria
🔄
46'
Danel Sinani ↔ Timothé Rupil
Luxembourg
🔄
56'
Asen Chandarov ↔ Martin Minchev
Bulgaria
⚽
65'
Vincent Thill
Luxembourg
🔄
68'
Zdravko Dimitrov ↔ Marin Petkov
Bulgaria
🔄
68'
Emil Tsenov ↔ Petko Panayotov
Bulgaria
🔄
72'
Vincent Thill ↔ Mathias Olesen
Luxembourg
🔄
82'
Teodor Ivanov ↔ Stefan Velkov
Bulgaria
🟨
83'
Dirk Carlson
Luxembourg
🔄
83'
Aiman Dardari ↔ Jayson Videira Pereira
Luxembourg
🔄
83'
Hamza Kadamani ↔ Sebastien Thill
Luxembourg
🔄
90'
Tomas de Sousa Moreira ↔ Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves
Luxembourg

Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 3.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78%
1.57 ▥
BTTS No
56%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
3.05 ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
34.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bulgaria Win 22%
Draw 25.4%
Luxembourg Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bulgaria0.8
Luxembourg0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bulgaria Bulgaria
WWDLW
2 GF / 3 GA
Luxembourg Luxembourg
WLDWL
1 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bulgaria Bulgaria 2 matches
Luxembourg Luxembourg 2 matches
Bulgaria Statistic Luxembourg
0 Wins 1
1 Draws 0
1 Losses 1
2 Goals For 1
3 Goals Against 1
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 0
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 5
0 Corners 2
0% Ball Possession 24%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Bulgaria won 2 times, Luxembourg won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Bulgaria's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78%)
Predicted formations: Bulgaria 4-3-3 / Luxembourg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bulgaria wins 2, draws 3, Luxembourg wins 0

Standings

League C - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:1 6 8
D W W D
2 4 1 3 0 2:1 1 6
D W D D
3 4 1 1 2 3:5 -2 4
W L D L
4 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
L L L W
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