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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
09.10.2026 14:55
Maydan Tamweel Al Oula
Referee: Abdullah Al-Owaidan, Saudi Arabia
Al-Fateh
Match Timeline
Al-Ahli Jeddah
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Trincao
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
46'
A. R. Al Khaibre ↔ Bin Mahmoud
Al-Fateh
🔄
46'
Z. Youssouf ↔ A. Al Fawaz
Al-Fateh
🔄
46'
Matheus Goncalves ↔ E. Spertsyan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
⚽
50'
Trincao
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🟨
55'
Kennedy Boateng
Al-Fateh
⚽
60'
I. Toney · Assist: E. Spertsyan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
62'
A. Al Hassan ↔ R. Kelder
Al-Fateh
🔄
62'
W. Kanga ↔ F. Al Abdulwahed
Al-Fateh
🔄
62'
Galeno ↔ F. Al Buraikan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🟨
63'
Marwane Saadane
Al-Fateh
🟨
76'
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Al-Fateh
🟨
76'
Valentin Atangana Edoa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
78'
I. Toney ↔ A. Bondarenko
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
78'
V. Atangana ↔ S. Abu Al Shamat
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
82'
L. Haraslin ↔ S. Al Sharfa
Al-Fateh
🔄
85'
Trincao ↔ M. Al Mutairi
Al-Ahli Jeddah
⚽
89'
Z. Al Johani
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🟨
90+2'
Mourad Batna
Al-Fateh
VAR
90+3'
Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Fateh Win 34.8%
Draw 25.2%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Win 40.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Fateh1.03
Al-Ahli Jeddah1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Fateh Al-Fateh
WWDLW
4 GF / 14 GA
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
WLDWL
21 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
3
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 8 matches
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 12 matches
Al-Fateh Statistic Al-Ahli Jeddah
0 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
4 Goals For 21
14 Goals Against 22
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
3 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 4.57
11.86 Total Shots 13.14
4.14 Corners 3.43
45.1% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al-Ahli Jeddah's more proactive style and Al-Fateh's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Ahli Jeddah. Al-Ahli Jeddah arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Al-Ahli Jeddah carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 12 points while Al-Fateh sit 15 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Al-Fateh Analysis

Al-Fateh sit 15 with 3 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Batna (1 goals), W. Kanga (1 goals), L. Haraslín (1 goals), with creative support from M. Batna (1 assists), Z. Youssouf (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Ahli Jeddah Analysis

Al-Ahli Jeddah sit 6 with 12 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 16:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Toney (10 goals), Trincão (3 goals), E. Spertsyan (1 goals), with creative support from Trincão (2 assists), E. Spertsyan (2 assists), Saad Yaslam (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh won 6 times, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:23 from Al-Fateh's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.8%)
Predicted formations: Al-Fateh 4-2-3-1 / Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al-Fateh wins 6, draws 2, Al-Ahli Jeddah wins 7

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 8 5 1 2 14:7 7 16
D W W W L
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 8 3 3 2 12:12 0 12
D D D W L
8 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L D W L W
10 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
11 9 1 6 2 6:11 -5 9
W D D D L
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 9 1 3 5 7:17 -10 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 3 5 3:15 -12 3
L L L D L
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1