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TURKEY › 1. LIG
09.10.2026 14:00

Sivasspor vs Pendikspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.1%
1.57 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.03 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sivasspor Win 38.9%
Draw 20.6%
Pendikspor Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sivasspor1.36
Pendikspor1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sivasspor Sivasspor
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Pendikspor Pendikspor
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
6
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sivasspor Sivasspor 8 matches
Pendikspor Pendikspor 10 matches
Sivasspor Statistic Pendikspor
1 Wins 3
5 Draws 5
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 17
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
6 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.38 Total Shots 12.75
3.88 Corners 4.75
46.5% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sivasspor expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pendikspor in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pendikspor having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Pendikspor. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sivasspor Analysis

Sivasspor approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 8 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 9:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Manaj (4 goals), Valon Ethemi (1 goals), K. Fidan (1 goals), with creative support from Burak Kapacak (3 assists), R. Manaj (1 assists), Amilton (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pendikspor Analysis

So far, Pendikspor have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hakan Yeşil (1 goals), Rogerio Thuram (1 goals), Mesut Özdemir (1 goals), with creative support from Hakan Yeşil (1 assists), Rogerio Thuram (1 assists), Bekir Karadeniz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sivasspor won 2 times, Pendikspor won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Sivasspor's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.4%)
Predicted formations: Sivasspor 4-2-3-1 / Pendikspor 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sivasspor wins 2, draws 1, Pendikspor wins 1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 15:3 12 19
W W W D L
2 8 6 1 1 16:7 9 19
W D W W W
3 8 5 1 2 12:7 5 16
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:13 2 16
L L W W W
5 8 4 2 2 11:9 2 14
W D L W W
6 8 3 4 1 17:10 7 13
D D W W D
7 8 3 3 2 9:5 4 12
L L W D D
8 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
W W L W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D L D D
10 8 2 5 1 8:7 1 11
D D D W W
11 8 2 4 2 12:5 7 10
L D W L D
12 8 2 4 2 10:13 -3 10
D D W L D
13 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
L D L L D
14 8 1 5 2 7:6 1 8
D W L D D
15 8 1 5 2 9:11 -2 8
D D W D L
16 8 1 3 4 6:9 -3 6
W L L L D
17 8 0 5 3 4:10 -6 5
L D L D L
18 8 1 2 5 7:19 -12 5
W L L L D
19 8 1 3 4 8:17 -9 4
L D D L D
20 8 0 1 7 3:20 -17 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation