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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
26.09.2026 18:45
Stade Marcel-Verchere
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Match Timeline
Concarneau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
M. Picouleau ↔ J. Varvat
Concarneau
🟨
25'
L. Goujon
Concarneau
🟨
45+3'
T. Ehling
Bourg-en-bresse 01
⚽
45'
S. Janno
Concarneau
⚽
48'
T. Ehling · Assist: A. Gharbi
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
59'
B. Macon
Concarneau
🔄
70'
A. Gharbi ↔ Y. Abraou
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
70'
B. Macon ↔ N. Mercier
Concarneau
🔄
70'
↔ A. Sidibe
Concarneau
🔄
78'
G. Gbelle ↔ K. Benabdelouahed
Concarneau
🔄
78'
F. Da Silva ↔ G. Lafontaine
Concarneau
🟨
80'
D. Seba
Concarneau
🔄
81'
T. Ehling ↔ Y. Kanoute
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
81'
T. Frayssinous ↔ O. Muepu
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🔄
81'
A. Dihad ↔ R. Souici
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
85'
E. Alberto
Bourg-en-bresse 01
🟨
90+6'
O. Muepu
Bourg-en-bresse 01

Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.1%
Odds 2.09
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.1%
2.09 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
1.63 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.37 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Win 16.7%
Draw 5.2%
Concarneau Win 78.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bourg-en-bresse 010.74
Concarneau1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01
WWDLW
5 GF / 14 GA
Concarneau Concarneau
WLDWL
20 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.56
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
7
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 9 matches
Concarneau Concarneau 12 matches
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Statistic Concarneau
1 Wins 6
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
5 Goals For 20
14 Goals Against 12
0.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 10
2 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Concarneau's more proactive style and Bourg-en-bresse 01's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Concarneau. Concarneau carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 9 points while Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bourg-en-bresse 01 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Concarneau having the stronger overall control.

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Analysis

Bourg-en-bresse 01 sit 18 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 3:11, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Concarneau Analysis

Concarneau sit 7 with 9 points after 6 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 7:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bourg-en-bresse 01 won 4 times, Concarneau won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Bourg-en-bresse 01's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: Bourg-en-bresse 01 wins 4, draws 5, Concarneau wins 4

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 15:8 7 21
W W W D D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
4 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
5 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
6 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
7 9 5 0 4 17:12 5 15
L W L W W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation