BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Referee: F. Fernandes de Lima
Botafogo
Match Timeline
Corinthians
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
Arthur Cabral · Assist: L. M. Villalba Jaume
Botafogo
11'
R. Garro · Assist: J. Lingard
Corinthians
🟨
20'
Mateo Ponte
Botafogo
VAR
26'
Nahuel Ferraresi
Botafogo
32'
Arthur Cabral · Assist: K. Barria
Botafogo
🟨
39'
Cristian Medina
Botafogo
🟨
45+6'
Jesse Lingard
Corinthians
🔄
46'
K. Barria ↔ Kauan Toledo
Botafogo
🔄
46'
J. Lingard ↔ Kaio Cesar
Corinthians
🔄
63'
Raniele ↔ Andre
Corinthians
🔄
66'
M. Ponte ↔ Vitinho
Botafogo
70'
Arthur Cabral · Assist: Kauan Toledo
Botafogo
🟨
71'
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo
🟨
73'
Lucas Villalba
Botafogo
🔄
73'
L. M. Villalba Jaume ↔ Edenilson
Botafogo
🔄
76'
Breno Bidon ↔ Allan
Corinthians
🔄
77'
R. Garro ↔ Pedro Raul
Corinthians
🔄
77'
A. Carrillo ↔ Dieguinho
Corinthians
🔄
80'
A. Montoro ↔ S. Rodriguez
Botafogo
🔄
80'
C. Medina ↔ G. Justino
Botafogo
🟨
81'
Alexander Barboza
Botafogo
🟨
90+1'
Alex Telles
Botafogo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 45.9%
Draw 18.5%
Corinthians Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.3
Corinthians1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo Botafogo
WWDLW
29 GF / 30 GA
Corinthians Corinthians
WLDWL
20 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
12
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
4
4.72
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo Botafogo 18 matches
Corinthians Corinthians 19 matches
Botafogo Statistic Corinthians
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
29 Goals For 20
30 Goals Against 16
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
12 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 5
4.72 Shots On Goal 3.47
12.5 Total Shots 10.84
3.83 Corners 4.84
51.5% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Corinthians. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Corinthians in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corinthians having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Botafogo have collected 18 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Danilo (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (4 goals), Matheus Martins (4 goals), with creative support from A. Montoro (3 assists), Danilo (2 assists), Alex Telles (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Corinthians Analysis

Corinthians sit 16 with 18 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 13:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Breno Bidon (2 goals), Matheus Bidu (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), with creative support from R. Garro (6 assists), Matheus Bidu (1 assists), André Carrillo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 6 times, Corinthians won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Botafogo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo 3-4-3 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Botafogo 3, Corinthians 6
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 6, draws 3, Corinthians wins 6
Stats
Botafogo Botafogo
Corinthians Corinthians
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 2
22 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 12
2 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 10
7 Shots outsidebox 9
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
255 Total passes 468
175 Passes accurate 405
0.82 expected_goals 1.11
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo
Formation
Corinthians
Neto
Neto
M. Ponte
M. Ponte
N. Ferraresi
N. Ferraresi
A. Barboza
A. Barboza
Alex Telles
Alex Telles
Huguinho
Huguinho
C. Medina
C. Medina
L. M. Villalba Jaume
🎯
L. M. Villalba Jaume
K. Barria
🎯
K. Barria
A. Montoro
A. Montoro
Arthur Cabral
⚽ 3
Arthur Cabral
Hugo Souza
Hugo Souza
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
Andre Ramalho
Andre Ramalho
Gustavo Henrique
Gustavo Henrique
Matheus Bidu
Matheus Bidu
A. Carrillo
A. Carrillo
Raniele
Raniele
Breno Bidon
Breno Bidon
R. Garro
R. Garro
J. Lingard
🎯
J. Lingard
Yuri Alberto
Yuri Alberto
Botafogo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Neto
G
4
M. Ponte
↓ 66' 🟨 20'
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
20
A. Barboza
🟨 81'
D
13
Alex Telles
🟨 90+1'
D
75
Huguinho
M
6
C. Medina
↓ 80' 🟨 39'
M
77
L. M. Villalba Jaume
🎯 7' ↓ 73' 🟨 73'
M
37
K. Barria
🎯 32' ↓ 46'
M
10
A. Montoro
↓ 80'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
⚽ 7' ⚽ 32' ⚽ 70' 🟨 71'
F
Substitutes
1
Raul Steffens
G
24
Leo Linck
G
2
Vitinho
↑ 66'
D
23
S. Rodriguez
↑ 80'
M
27
Caio Roque
D
14
J. Barrera
M
59
Kauan Toledo
🎯 70' ↑ 46'
M
88
Edenilson
↑ 73'
M
21
Marcal
D
42
Kadu Santos
D
34
G. Justino
↑ 80'
D
45
Caio Valle
M
Corinthians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Hugo Souza
G
2
Matheuzinho
D
5
Andre Ramalho
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
21
Matheus Bidu
D
19
A. Carrillo
↓ 77'
M
14
Raniele
↓ 63'
M
7
Breno Bidon
↓ 76'
M
8
R. Garro
⚽ 11' ↓ 77'
M
77
J. Lingard
🎯 11' ↓ 46' 🟨 45+6'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
F
Substitutes
51
Kaue
G
26
F. Angileri
D
23
M. Pereira
M
20
P. Milans
D
37
Kaio Cesar
↑ 46'
F
56
Gui Negao
F
29
Allan
↑ 76'
M
80
Alex Santana
M
18
Pedro Raul
↑ 77'
F
49
Andre
↑ 63'
M
61
Dieguinho
↑ 77'
M
55
I. Machado
D
Last matches: Botafogo
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Gremio
3
5
L
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
H2H: Botafogo vs Corinthians
17.05.26
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
2
2
D
26.07.25
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
2
1
W
02.06.24
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
0
1
W
22.09.23
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
0
L
11.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
0
W
30.07.22
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
0
L
10.04.22
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
3
L
27.12.20
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
0
2
L
06.09.20
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
2
2
D
24.11.19
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
W
17.08.19
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
2
0
L
04.11.18
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
W
19.07.18
H2H
Corinthians
Botafogo
2
0
L
Last matches: Botafogo
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
17.05.26
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
2
1
W
11.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
3
L
27.12.20
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
0
2
L
24.11.19
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
W
04.11.18
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
W
Last matches: Corinthians
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
25.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
19.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
H2H away: Corinthians
17.05.26
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
2
1
L
11.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
0
L
10.04.22
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
3
W
27.12.20
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
0
2
W
24.11.19
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
L
04.11.18
H2H
Botafogo
Corinthians
1
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 5 1 30:13 17 41
?
2 17 10 4 3 31:16 15 34
?
3 18 9 4 5 28:23 5 31
?
4 18 9 3 6 24:18 6 30
?
5 18 9 2 7 25:19 6 29
?
6 17 7 5 5 25:23 2 26
?
7 18 7 5 6 24:24 0 26
?
8 18 7 4 7 23:20 3 25
?
9 18 7 3 8 22:23 -1 24
?
10 18 6 6 6 18:19 -1 24
?
11 18 6 6 6 24:28 -4 24
?
12 17 6 4 7 31:31 0 22
?
13 17 6 4 7 21:25 -4 22
?
14 18 5 6 7 21:22 -1 21
?
15 18 5 6 7 26:29 -3 21
?
16 18 5 6 7 20:23 -3 21
?
17 18 5 5 8 22:29 -7 20
?
18 18 4 6 8 21:29 -8 18
?
19 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
?
20 17 1 6 10 17:33 -16 9
?
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Botafogo 3 missing
-
Kaio Pantaleao
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Allan
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Nathan Fernandes
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Corinthians 6 missing
-
M. Depay
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Joao Pedro
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Charles Rigon
Missing Fixture Heel Injury
OUT
-
Kayke
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Vitinho
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Gabriel Paulista
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT