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BRAZIL › SERIE B
24.07.2026 00:30
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: J. Mendonca
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Juventude
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
Vilar
Botafogo SP
⚽
32'
Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🟨
35'
Lucas Mineiro
Juventude
🟨
43'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Rai Ramos ↔ Nathan Santos
Juventude
⚽
49'
Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
⚽
55'
Patryck · Assist: Marcos Paulo
Juventude
⚽
58'
Wesley Santos · Assist: Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
🔄
59'
Luan Martins ↔ Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
59'
Fabio Lima ↔ Alan Kardec
Juventude
🔄
60'
Arthur Caike ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🟨
65'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
🟥
65'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Botafogo SP
⚽
70'
Pablo Roberto
Juventude
🔄
71'
Lucas Mineiro ↔ M. Castro
Juventude
🔄
73'
Rafael Gava ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
73'
Wesley Santos ↔ Wallace
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Pedro Henrique ↔ Gabriel Inocencio
Botafogo SP
🔄
78'
Patryck ↔ Diogo Barbosa
Juventude
🔄
85'
↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+5'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP vs Juventude Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 36.9%
Draw 15.9%
Juventude Win 47.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP0.84
Juventude1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
20 GF / 18 GA
Juventude Juventude
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.06
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
9
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
3.44
Shots on Goal
4.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 18 matches
Juventude Juventude 18 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Juventude
5 Wins 9
6 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
20 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 8
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.44
9 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 6
3.44 Shots On Goal 4.44
11.39 Total Shots 12.17
5.89 Corners 4.22
45.5% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventude. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Juventude in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventude having the stronger overall control. Juventude carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 29 points while Botafogo SP sit 15 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Juventude look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 15 with 20 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (3 assists), Rafael Gava (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Juventude Analysis

Juventude approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 29 points after 17 outings. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 17:8, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Raí (3 goals), Alan Kardec (1 goals), Wadson (1 goals), with creative support from Alan Kardec (1 assists), Wadson (1 assists), Alisson Safira (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, Juventude won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1 / Juventude 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 4, Juventude wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 37:19 18 59
W W W L L
2 32 17 7 8 44:31 13 58
D W W W D
3 32 16 9 7 54:27 27 57
W W D L D
4 32 15 11 6 37:27 10 56
W D D W D
5 32 15 8 9 33:28 5 53
L W W L L
6 32 14 10 8 40:30 10 52
L W W L W
7 32 15 6 11 49:45 4 51
W L W L W
8 32 13 11 8 44:34 10 50
W W L W L
9 32 13 9 10 44:43 1 48
L L D W D
10 32 11 14 7 32:25 7 47
D W L W D
11 32 13 6 13 32:40 -8 45
W L L W W
12 32 12 9 11 44:34 10 45
L W D W W
13 32 11 9 12 39:40 -1 42
L D W L D
14 32 11 9 12 35:39 -4 42
W W D W D
15 32 10 12 10 38:37 1 42
L L D D W
16 32 10 8 14 36:38 -2 38
W L W D L
17 32 9 6 17 32:43 -11 33
W L L L D
18 32 7 7 18 40:47 -7 28
L L L L W
19 32 4 5 23 21:53 -32 17
L L L L L
20 32 3 4 25 17:68 -51 13
L L L W L
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