Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw |
35.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- |
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Boston River
11 matches
Cerro Largo
11 matches
| Boston River | Statistic | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 9 | Goals For | 13 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cerro Largo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boston River expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Cerro Largo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro Largo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Boston River are currently 13 in the standings with 11 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 9:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Bonfiglio (2 goals), L. Suhr (2 goals), Alexander González (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 11 matches, Cerro Largo have collected 14 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (3 goals), D. Daguerre (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 7 times, Cerro Largo won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:15 from Boston River's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Boston River
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
Central Espanol
Boston River
Wanderers
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
Boston River
Albion FC
Boston River
Club Nacional
Boston River
Danubio
Boston River
Juventud
Boston River
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
CA River Plate
Boston River
Progreso
Boston River
Penarol
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
Boston River
Rocha
Boston River
Canadian
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
Boston River
Oriental
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Racing Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Defensor Sporting
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
CA River Plate
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Miramar
Cerro Largo
Progreso
Cerro Largo
Juventud
Cerro Largo
Villa Teresa
Cerro Largo
Cerrito
Cerro Largo
Central Espanol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 35:20 | 15 | 39 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 37 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 32 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 31 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 26 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Cerro Largo
Away
|
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
| 11 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Boston River
Home
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 19 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 13 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10:31 | -21 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|