URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Parque Artigas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.7%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Boston River Win 58.7%
Draw 4.4%
Central Espanol Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston River1.13
Central Espanol1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston River Boston River
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Central Espanol Central Espanol
WLDWL
27 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
9
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston River Boston River 19 matches
Central Espanol Central Espanol 19 matches
Boston River Statistic Central Espanol
6 Wins 9
3 Draws 4
10 Losses 6
19 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 25
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
9 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Central Espanol's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Boston River have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Central Espanol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Espanol having the stronger overall control.

Boston River Analysis

With 21 points from 19 games and a place of 12, Boston River still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:26, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonfiglio (4 goals), F. Munoa (4 goals), L. Suhr (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Central Espanol Analysis

So far, Central Espanol have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 31 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 27:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by R. Tarragona (6 goals), F. Munoz (3 goals), L. Pino (3 goals), with creative support from D. Vera (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 4 times, Central Espanol won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Boston River's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Boston River 4-2-3-1 / Central Espanol -
H2H summary: Boston River wins 4, draws 0, Central Espanol wins 4
Last matches: Boston River
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
1
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
0
0
D
Last matches: Central Espanol
06.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Racing Montevideo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
6
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Danubio
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
24.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro Largo
1
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Wanderers
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Progreso
3
0
W
H2H: Boston River vs Central Espanol
03.05.26
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
02.04.16
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.05.15
H2H
Central Espanol
Boston River
0
2
W
02.12.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
2
L
22.04.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
4
0
W
19.11.13
H2H
Central Espanol
Boston River
3
1
L
12.05.12
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
3
L
10.12.11
H2H
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
0
L
Last matches: Boston River
01.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
1
2
L
17.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
0
D
04.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
0
0
D
20.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Plaza Colonia
6
1
W
06.09.25
Pri
Boston River
CA River Plate
2
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
2
1
W
15.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
4
0
W
H2H at home: Boston River
03.05.26
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
02.04.16
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
0
W
02.12.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
2
L
22.04.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
4
0
W
12.05.12
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
3
L
Last matches: Central Espanol
01.06.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Cerro
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Boston River
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Albion FC
1
6
L
03.04.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
21.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Juventud
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Central Espanol
Progreso
3
0
W
H2H away: Central Espanol
03.05.26
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
L
02.04.16
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
0
L
02.12.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
2
W
22.04.14
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
4
0
L
12.05.12
H2H
Boston River
Central Espanol
1
3
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 19 10 7 2 25:15 10 37
D D D W L
3 19 11 3 5 28:18 10 36
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 10 1 8 31:26 5 31
W L W W W
6 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
7 19 8 5 6 29:24 5 29
L W W L W
8 19 7 5 7 22:24 -2 26
D W D D W
9 19 6 7 6 22:20 2 25
D W D L L
10 19 7 3 9 21:20 1 24
D W W L L
11 19 5 8 6 15:16 -1 23
D D L L L
12 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
D L L W L
13 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
D D L L L
14 19 5 4 10 23:30 -7 19
D L L W W
15 19 3 4 12 16:30 -14 13
L W L L L
16 19 3 4 12 10:31 -21 13
L L W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)