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GERMANY › SUPER CUP
22.08.2026 18:30
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
Bayern München
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
N. Brown · Assist: M. Olise
Bayern München
🟨
45+1'
Luis Díaz
Bayern München
⚽
45'
M. Olise
Bayern München
🔄
46'
S. Inacio ↔ G. Konstantelias
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
62'
K. Karetsas ↔ M. Beier
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
63'
F. Nmecha ↔ J. Veerman
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
63'
S. Guirassy ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
68'
J. Stanisic ↔ A. Davies
Bayern München
🔄
73'
J. Ryerson ↔ M. Sabitzer
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
75'
F. Silva · Assist: D. Svensson
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
81'
N. Brown ↔ I. Saibari
Bayern München
🔄
90+5'
L. Diaz ↔ T. Bischof
Bayern München

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 53%
Draw 7%
Bayern München Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.31
Bayern München2.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Bayern München Bayern München
WLDWL
17 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.83
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5 matches
Bayern München Bayern München 6 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic Bayern München
2 Wins 5
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
7 Goals For 17
6 Goals Against 7
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.83
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1 times, Bayern München won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:39 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 4.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / Bayern München 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 1, draws 3, Bayern München wins 11