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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
04.05.2026 17:00
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Molde
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Eirik Hestad
Molde
⚽
36'
F. Gulbrandsen
Molde
🟨
41'
Albert Posiadała
Molde
🔄
46'
J. Christensen ↔ V. Hoff
Molde
🔄
46'
F. Gulbrandsen ↔ I. Gosik
Molde
🟨
56'
Sondre Milian Granaas
Molde
🔄
61'
H. Evjen ↔ S. Fet
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
66'
S. Granaas ↔ B. Isufi
Molde
🔄
74'
O. Blomberg ↔ A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
75'
E. Hestad ↔ O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Molde
🔄
85'
M. Daehli ↔ E. Haugan
Molde
🔄
89'
F. Sjovold ↔ I. Maatta
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
89'
K. Hogh ↔ O. Brynhildsen
Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt vs Molde Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.1%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
77.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 92.1%
Draw 6.1%
Molde Win 1.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.12
Molde1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
22 GF / 7 GA
Molde Molde
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.75
Average Goals Scored
1.83
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
2
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
6.17
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 8 matches
Molde Molde 12 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Molde
6 Wins 5
1 Draws 4
1 Losses 3
22 Goals For 22
7 Goals Against 14
2.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
2 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
6.17 Shots On Goal 4.83
16.17 Total Shots 13.33
7.83 Corners 5
66.7% Ball Possession 60.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Molde seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Molde in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Molde having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Molde. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 13 points from 6 games, Bodo/Glimt bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 14:6, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through K. Hogh (3 goals), A. Helmersen (2 goals), F. Sjovold (2 goals), with creative support from O. Blomberg (3 assists), K. Hogh (2 assists), Sondre Fet (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with O. Brynhildsen, U. Saltnes unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Molde Analysis

So far, Molde have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 10 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Breivik (6 goals), Eirik Hestad (2 goals), Fredrik Gulbrandsen (2 goals), with creative support from Eirik Hestad (1 assists), J. Abdullai (1 assists), Sondre Milian Granaas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with D. Daga, F. Dahl, C. Oyvann unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 6 times, Molde won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:29 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (98.3%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-1-3-2 / Molde 4-4-2
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 1, Molde 6
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 6, draws 4, Molde wins 5

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4
Molde Away
22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
11 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16 22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen