ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 79.4%
Draw 7.4%
Orense SC Win 13.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC1.12
Orense SC1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
35 GF / 38 GA
Orense SC Orense SC
WLDWL
30 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.2
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
16
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
14
3.26
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 39 matches
Orense SC Orense SC 25 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic Orense SC
14 Wins 8
11 Draws 6
14 Losses 11
35 Goals For 30
38 Goals Against 36
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
16 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 5
13 Failed To Score 6
3.26 Shots On Goal 3.8
11.86 Total Shots 10.52
3.8 Corners 3.8
45.7% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orense SC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Orense SC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orense SC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 36 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats with a 25:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Darío Benedetto (4 goals), Jhonny Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from Tomás Martínez (2 assists), Darío Benedetto (1 assists), Jhonny Quiñónez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 27 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 28:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Agustin Herrera (5 goals), Sergio Vásquez (4 goals), Michael Bermúdez (3 goals), with creative support from Sergio Vásquez (3 assists), Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Agustin Herrera (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 9 times, Orense SC won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-4-2 / Orense SC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 9, draws 3, Orense SC wins 3
Last matches: Barcelona SC
16.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
2
L
02.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
1
1
D
27.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
22.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
12.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
02.06.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
L
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
Last matches: Orense SC
16.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
0
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
23.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
17.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
0
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
H2H: Barcelona SC vs Orense SC
26.04.26
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
14.12.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
02.08.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
15.04.25
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
3
1
L
18.08.24
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
3
2
L
16.03.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
29.10.23
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
2
3
W
20.05.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
20.08.22
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
10.04.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
0
L
14.03.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
23.11.20
H2H
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
0
0
D
15.08.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Barcelona SC
09.08.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
2
L
27.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
05.07.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
1
0
W
04.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
14.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Aucas
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Inter Miami
2
2
D
01.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
H2H at home: Barcelona SC
14.12.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
1
W
02.08.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
20.05.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
14.03.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
W
15.08.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
0
W
Last matches: Orense SC
09.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
0
3
L
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
H2H away: Orense SC
14.12.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
1
L
02.08.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
20.05.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
L
10.04.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
L
14.03.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
2
0
L
15.08.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 21 1 3 61:24 37 64
W W W W W
2 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
3 25 12 5 8 29:26 3 41
L W W L L
4 25 11 7 7 40:22 18 40
D L W D W
5 25 11 5 9 24:20 4 38
W L W W D
6 25 9 9 7 25:20 5 36
D L D L L
7 25 9 8 8 26:25 1 35
W L D W D
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 25 8 8 9 32:34 -2 32
D W W L D
10 25 9 4 12 22:32 -10 31
L L L W L
11 25 7 9 9 22:27 -5 30
D D L D D
12 25 8 6 11 30:36 -6 30
W D L L W
13 25 8 8 9 21:29 -8 29
W D L L D
14 25 8 2 15 21:34 -13 26
L L L W L
15 25 6 6 13 17:27 -10 24
L D L L L
16 25 4 5 16 11:32 -21 17
L W L L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs