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ECUADOR › LIGA PRO
27.07.2026 00:15
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Referee: G. Gonzalez
Barcelona SC
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
G. F. Allala Menendez
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
J. Wila ↔ H. Villalba
Barcelona SC
⚽
52'
M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
56'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
🟨
56'
L. Segovia
LDU de Quito
🟨
59'
R. Mina
LDU de Quito
🟨
61'
J. Corozo
LDU de Quito
🔄
69'
B. Carabali ↔ W. Vargas
Barcelona SC
🔄
69'
D. Benedetto ↔ E. Mendoza
Barcelona SC
🔄
69'
I. Zambrano ↔ Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🔄
73'
R. Perlaza ↔ J. Perlaza
Barcelona SC
🟨
74'
J. Carabali
LDU de Quito
⚽
74'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz · Assist: J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
VAR
74'
E. Mendoza
Barcelona SC
🔄
83'
S. Diaz ↔ J. Intriago
Barcelona SC
🔄
85'
M. Estrada ↔ Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
86'
J. Corozo ↔ C. Luna Tobar
LDU de Quito
🟥
90+11'
G. Alvarez
LDU de Quito
🔄
90+9'
J. W. Cuero Mercado ↔ R. Mina
LDU de Quito

Barcelona SC vs LDU de Quito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
82.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Barcelona SC Win 73.5%
Draw 4.8%
LDU de Quito Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Barcelona SC0.9
LDU de Quito1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WWDLW
33 GF / 34 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
33 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.1
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
7
3.42
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 35 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 30 matches
Barcelona SC Statistic LDU de Quito
14 Wins 13
9 Draws 7
12 Losses 10
33 Goals For 33
34 Goals Against 25
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
14 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 12
3.42 Shots On Goal 3.44
12.16 Total Shots 13.96
3.71 Corners 5.33
45.9% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Barcelona SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. LDU de Quito arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors LDU de Quito.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Barcelona SC arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 34 points after 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 22:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Benedetto (4 goals), J. Quiñónez (2 goals), Milton Celiz (2 goals), with creative support from D. Benedetto (1 assists), J. Quiñónez (1 assists), Milton Celiz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

LDU de Quito Analysis

With 28 points from 20 games and a place of 6, LDU de Quito still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 19:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), Janner Corozo (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), Rodney Redes (1 assists), Jesús Pretell (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Barcelona SC won 4 times, LDU de Quito won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:21 from Barcelona SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1 / LDU de Quito 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Barcelona SC wins 4, draws 3, LDU de Quito wins 8

Standings

Liga Pro: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 39
L W D W L
11 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
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